Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Belmont at the Big A, October 24, 2025.

Pick Pony Expert Picks are based on analytics from our Past Performance Sheets and related analytical tools. Sometimes, a pick may appear twice; in such cases, we expect the horse to finish in one of the two predicted positions. You can sum the confidence scores to assess our overall confidence in the prediction.

Race #1 Estimated Finish Order

1. 6 Off Script – 75% confidence🥈
2. 1 Amazing Gracer – 58% confidence🥉
3. 2 Starship Pegasus – 50% confidence🥇
4. 4 Sassetti – 25% confidence

Race #2 Estimated Finish Order

1. 6 Pantherian – 42% confidence🥇
2. 8 Combat Mission – 33% confidence
3. 9 Whiskey Point – 25% confidence
4. 7 Kaz Dominator – 25% confidence

Race #3 Estimated Finish Order

1. 5 Pentathlon – 67% confidence🥇
2. 4 Top Gun Rocket – 50% confidence
3. 2 Mr. Papagiorgio – 42% confidence
4. 7 Donegal Surges – 42% confidence

Race #4 Estimated Finish Order

1. 1 Shades Of Jade – 58% confidence🥇
2. 2 Lots Of Kisses – 50% confidence
3. 3 Leaner And Meaner – 25% confidence
4. 5 Vinalia (GB) – 25% confidence

Race #5 Estimated Finish Order

1. 1 British Invasion – 58% confidence
2. 6 Quiet Power – 50% confidence🥈
3. 9 Tacticality – 25% confidence🥇
4. 10 Jet Off – 25% confidence

Race #6 Estimated Finish Order

1. 10 Flying Liam – 33% confidence
2. 9 House United – 33% confidence🥉
3. 6 Crushed It – 33% confidence🥇
4. 5 Golden Plate – 33% confidence

Race #7 Estimated Finish Order

1. 5 Fiscal Drag – 75% confidence🥇
2. 8 Freedom Maker – 50% confidence
3. 3 Cat Fast – 42% confidence🥈
4. 7 Dr. Insel – 25% confidence🥉

Race #8 Estimated Finish Order

1. 2 Will Not Be Swayed – 58% confidence🥈
2. 15 Geez Eloise – 33% confidence
3. 8 Hue – 25% confidence🥉
4. 10 Long Legged Queen – 25% confidence🥇

Race #9 Estimated Finish Order

1. 2 Vintage Vino – 83% confidence🥈
2. 10 Complex Agenda – 25% confidence🥇
3. 4 Thorsness – 25% confidence
4. 5 Nyquistador – 25% confidence

Exotic Betting Recommendations and Value Plays

Best Single Race Bets

• Race 1: 6 Off Script to win – Strong consensus favorite with 75% expert backing​
• Race 7: 5 Fiscal Drag to win – Overwhelming expert consensus at 75%​
• Race 9: 2 Vintage Vino to win – Highest confidence play at 83% expert backing​

Exacta Value Plays

• Race 3: 5 Pentathlon over 4 Top Gun Rocket – Both horses receiving strong expert support​
• Race 4: 1 Shades Of Jade over 2 Lots Of Kisses – Consistent top two across multiple handicappers​

Trifecta Opportunities

• Race 1: 6 Off Script / 1 Amazing Gracer / 2 Starship Pegasus – Strong consensus on top three finishers​
• Race 7: 5 Fiscal Drag / 8 Freedom Maker / 3 Cat Fast – Clear expert preferences​

Pick 3 and Pick 4 Strategy

• Late Pick 4 (Races 6-9): Use multiple horses in Race 6 due to competitive nature, single 5 Fiscal Drag in Race 7, consider 2 Will Not Be Swayed in Race 8, and single 2 Vintage Vino in Race 9​

Longshot Value Plays

• Race 2: 1 Sir Walta (12-1) – Supported by Racing Dudes and other handicappers despite long odds​
• Race 6: 12 Makes Sense (10-1) – FanDuel and Guaranteed Tip Sheet selection with value potential​

The analysis shows clear consensus favorites in several races, particularly Off Script in Race 1, Fiscal Drag in Race 7, and Vintage Vino in Race 9, making these strong single-race betting opportunities.​