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Race 1 – Claiming, 6.5F, Dirt, $15,800 BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: 3. Speedy Bubbles (67% confidence)Place: 5. Golden Girl Lena (33% confidence)🥉
Show: 6. Flat Discount (33% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 4. Gone With The Wyn (33% confidence)🥇
Multiple Pick Pony analysts note a close run race among the top selections. Speedy Bubbles emerges as the strongest consensus pick with four of six analysts selecting the horse for win position. This race shapes as highly competitive, with Golden Girl Lena and Flat Discount representing logical backup selections. Gone With The Wyn warrants consideration as a late-running threat.
Race 2 – Starter Optional Claiming, 8.5F, Dirt, $23,700
Win: 2. No Love For Juba (50% confidence)🥈
Place: 2. No Love For Juba appears in place picks
Show: 6. Royal Pain (33% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 4. Buddy Buddy (33% confidence)
The consensus splits with No Love For Juba appearing in both win and place considerations across analyst picks. This race presents a competitive scenario where tempo control becomes critical. Pick Pony analysts suggest the race will feature key moves from experienced riders at the business end, with late charging possibilities from secondary contenders.
Race 3 – Claiming, 4.5F, Dirt, $19,300 WIN
Win: 7. Head Of The Class (50% confidence)🥇
Place: 1. Heaven’s Got Fire (33% confidence)🥉
Show: 4. Beechmont (33% confidence)
Alternative: 2. Fiber Strong (33% confidence)
Pick Pony analysts identify this race as featuring competing standout picks. Heaven’s Got Fire and Head Of The Class each garner three analyst selections for win position, indicating a split consensus. The tight early speed race could create opportunities for late-running challengers. Expect a fierce early tussle with a potentially tight finish.
Race 4 – Allowance, 7F, Dirt, $31,700
Win: 3. Skie’s Music (67% confidence)Place: 6. Candy Wide (33% confidence)
Show: 5. Grand Intentions (33% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 4. Subtle Storm (33% confidence)🥇
Skie’s Music represents the strongest win selection with four analysts supporting the choice. Pick Pony analysts rate this selection as a standout leader in the race based on recent performances. Candy Wide’s finishing ability should pose a late threat, making this contest feature strong closing runs and lively action among frontrunners and challengers.
Race 5 – Claiming, 4.5F, Dirt, $13,600
Win: 7. Don’t Blink (67% confidence)
Place: 4. Bahiti (33% confidence)
Show: 3. Cameo (33% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 8. Lovely Lucy (33% confidence)
Don’t Blink commands strong consensus with four analyst selections for win position. Pick Pony analysts emphasize Don’t Blink stands out with impressive recent efforts across the board. The fast four-and-a-half furlong sprint will be set for a thrilling early run, with Lovely Lucy representing late momentum possibilities for place and show tickets.
Race 6 – Claiming, 4.5F, Dirt, $12,400
Win: 3. Karpathian Dream (50% confidence)
Place: 1. Another Fine Juba (33% confidence)🥈
Show: 2. Crafty Windsor Cat (33% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 5. Want All The Smoke (33% confidence)
Pick Pony analysts note that form suggests the winner should come from the top three picks. Karpathian Dream and Another Fine Juba split the consensus, each appearing in multiple winning selections. Early speed will define this contest, with early-positioned runners expected to battle down the stretch. Crafty Windsor Cat offers late-running value if others fade.
Race 7 – Allowance, 7F, Dirt, $34,000
Win: 1. Zachamundo (50% confidence)🥈
Place: 3. Rum N Coke (33% confidence)
Show: 6. Wish On Juba (33% confidence)
Alternative: 4. Tico Grande (33% confidence)🥇
Zachamundo receives three analyst selections for win position but faces competition from Tico Grande and other contenders. Pick Pony analysts describe this field as a close run race between top picks. Zachamundo sets the standard with sharp recent form, while Tico Grande offers the key rival challenge. Rum N Coke remains consistent, while outsiders carry value potential.
Race 8 – Starter Optional Claiming, 6.5F, Dirt, $22,700
Win: 1. Improbable Journey (33% confidence)
Place: 7. Absolute Grit (33% confidence)🥉Show: 8. Pudge Boy Palace (33% confidence)Alternative: 4. Rick’swarmheart (33% confidence)
This race presents a split consensus among Pick Pony analysts. Improbable Journey, Rick’swarmheart, and Absolute Grit each receive multiple selections for various positions. Pick Pony analysts describe this contest as difficult to split among the top contenders. Absolute Grit stands out for recent consistency and could prove tough to overhaul. Late challengers Mark Did It and Southern Horse warrant consideration for place and show purposes.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Race 1 Value Opportunities
Pick Pony analysts identify Speedy Bubbles as the consensus selection for straight bets, though the competitive nature of this race makes exacta combinations valuable. Tying Speedy Bubbles with Golden Girl Lena and Flat Discount in the exacta offers potential value. Bettors should consider Gone With The Wyn for upset trifecta combinations given its late-running tendencies noted by analysts.
Race 2 Value Opportunities
No Love For Juba presents appealing value in win and place markets. Pick Pony analysts suggest pairing No Love For Juba with Royal Pain and Buddy Buddy in exacta and trifecta sequences. The race shape favors tempo-controlling strategies, making exactas featuring the top selections potentially profitable.
Race 3 Value Opportunities
Pick Pony analysts highlight the split consensus between Heaven’s Got Fire and Head Of The Class. This creates interesting exacta possibilities with both horses at favorable odds. Trifecta combinations featuring Beechmont and Fiber Strong as third-place runners offer value given their respective pick support.
Race 4 Value Opportunities
Skie’s Music dominates the consensus, creating potential value when paired with secondary selections. Pick Pony analysts recommend exacta combinations of Skie’s Music with Candy Wide and Grand Intentions. The race structure favors building exotics around the consensus first choice while utilizing confirmed pace runners.
Race 5 Value Opportunities
Don’t Blink represents the consensus choice, but exacta value emerges when combined with Bahiti and Cameo. Pick Pony analysts suggest considering Lovely Lucy in exacta sequences as a late-running second or third option, particularly given its persistent selection across multiple analysts.
Race 6 Value Opportunities
The split between Karpathian Dream and Another Fine Juba creates interesting exacta combinations. Pick Pony analysts recommend pairing these top selections with Crafty Windsor Cat and other secondary picks. Phantom Queen offers potential upset value in trifecta combinations.
Race 7 Value Opportunities
Pick Pony analysts identify Zachamundo as the lean choice but note Tico Grande represents a viable alternative at different odds. Exacta combinations pairing Zachamundo and Tico Grande in both directions offer potential. Rum N Coke provides a consistent third-place option for trifecta building.
Race 8 Value Opportunities
This competitive race presents multiple value paths. Pick Pony analysts recommend building exactas and trifectas with the consensus selections rather than predicting a single outcome. Combinations featuring Absolute Grit, Rick’swarmheart, and Improbable Journey in various sequences align with analyst picks while offering reasonable payout potential.
