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Race 1 – Maiden Special Weight
Win: Dancin In Old Town (3) 85%Place: Search Party (11) 75%🥉
Show: Sticker Shock (8) 60%🥇
Alternative: All About You (5) 50%
Race 2 – Maiden Special Weight
Win: Empire West (15) 80%Place: Happy Prince (1) 70%🥉
Show: Royal Causeway (2) 65%🥈Alternative: Untethered (11) 45%
Race 3 – Maiden Special Weight
Win: Presumptuous (12) 90%
Place: No Time Left (2) 70%🥇Show: Maximum Offer (14) 55%Alternative: Majestical (11) 40%🥈
Race 4 – Ed Brown Stakes
Win: Boyd (6) 85%🥇
Place: Stradale (5) 75%🥉
Show: Gallivant (1) 60%Alternative: Bobrovsky (2) 50%
Race 5 – Allowance Optional Claiming
Win: It’s Our Time (4) 80%
Place: Tripp’s Promise (5) 65%🥉
Show: Misinformation (6) 60%
Alternative: Time For Music (3) 45%🥈
Race 6 – Maiden Special Weight
Win: Kentucky Belle (4) 75%🥇
Place: Alone Time (12) 60%
Show: Copycat (11) 55%🥉
Alternative: Core Memories (5) 50%🥈
Race 7 – Maiden Special Weight
Win: Maximum Effort (6) 80%
Place: Market Runner (11) 60%
Show: Swift Blade (12) 55%
Alternative: Flash Of Chaos (8) 45%
Race 8 – Fern Creek Stakes
Win: A Fine Chardonnay (6) 85%🥉
Place: Paige Turner (2) 75%🥈
Show: On Time Girl (7) 65%🥇
Alternative: Have Faith (4) 50%
Race 9 – Maiden Special Weight
Win: Clark’s Corner (1) 75%Place: Instant Impact (7) 70%Show: Sun Chaser (8) 55%🥈
Alternative: Race Ready (12) 45%
Race 10 – Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes – Grade 2
Win: Further Ado (6) 85%🥇
Place: Cherokee Nation (2) 75%
Show: Soldier N Diplomat (4) 60%🥉
Alternative: Dr. Kapur (3) 50%
Race 11 – Golden Rod Stakes – Grade 2
Win: Explora (12) 80%Place: Life Of Joy (6) 70%
Show: Letmecounttheways (5) 65%
Alternative: Baracca (1) 50%
Race 12 – Maiden Special Weight
Win: Cannoneer (8) 80%🥇
Place: Dragones (11) 65%
Show: Regeneration (5) 55%🥉
Alternative: Different Gravy (12) 40%
Value Play Notes
Race 1: Sticker Shock offers value at 4-1 with top connections and could outrun odds for a place or show spot.
Race 4: Gallivant is a sharp maiden winner stepping into stakes company and could surprise at 3-1 morning line.
Race 7: Flash Of Chaos is improving with each start and could threaten for show at generous odds.
Race 10: Dr. Kapur is bred to route and has been working well, making him an interesting exotics play.
Race 11: Baracca is unbeaten and loves Churchill Downs, offering value against the favorite.
Race 12: Regeneration debuts for Chad Brown with strong works and could be a factor at a price.
Exotic Bet Recommendations
Pick 3 (Races 1-3): 3,11 / 1,15 / 12
Pick 4 (Races 4-7): 6 / 4,5 / 4 / 6
Pick 5 (Races 8-12): 6,7 / 1,7 / 6 / 12 / 8,11
Daily Double (Races 1-2): 3,11 / 1,15
