Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Delta Downs, November 19, 2025. 50% WIN RATE + 2 EXACTA

Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.

Race 1 – Claiming, 6 Furlongs

Win: #6 Gabbys Bling (100% confidence)
Place: #5 Rodessa Flash (40% confidence)
Show: #9 V Cut (33% confidence)
Alternative: #12 Wicked Punches (20% confidence)

Notes: Gabbys Bling is the unanimous top selection across all analysts. Rodessa Flash shows strong support as a value play despite limited consensus picks. The exacta appears solid with multiple analysts agreeing on the top two finishers.

Race 2 – Claiming, 6 Furlongs WIN

Win: #2 Peso Pesado (83% confidence)🥇
Place: #9 Wicked Rose (67% confidence)🥉
Show: #7 Cajun Aces (20% confidence)
Alternative: #10 All Together (20% confidence)

Notes: Peso Pesado receives overwhelming support as the favorite with strong consensus. Wicked Rose appears as the clear second choice across most selections. Cajun Aces represents a longshot value play that one analyst has ranked as the top selection.

Race 3 – Maiden Claiming, 5.5 Furlongs

Win: #5 Kinsley Grace (50% confidence)
Place: #1 She’s Wild Again (50% confidence)🥈
Show: #4 Sweet Thirteen (50% confidence)🥇
Alternative: #3 Acadiana (40% confidence)🥉

Notes: This race shows the most division among analysts with no clear consensus favorite. Acadiana represents value with strong algorithmic support. The top four selections all receive meaningful consideration from multiple analysts.

Race 4 – Claiming, 6 Furlongs WIN

Win: #1 Izzy’s Baby Boy (75% confidence)🥇
Place: #4 B Minor (75% confidence)🥉
Show: #8 Feathers Road (25% confidence)
Alternative: #5 Biloxi (25% confidence)

Notes: Izzy’s Baby Boy shows strong support as the favorite with consensus agreement. B Minor appears as the logical place horse across multiple selections. Feathers Road represents a contrarian value play with one analyst placing it as the top selection.

Race 5 – Maiden Special Weight, 1 Mile WIN + EXACTA

Win: #4 Distorted Song (100% confidence)🥇
Place: #8 Reckless Love (60% confidence)🥈
Show: #2 Velocity Storm (60% confidence)
Alternative: #1 Arco Thunder (40% confidence)

Notes: Distorted Song is the unanimous selection with complete analyst agreement. The exacta appears extremely solid with strong consensus. This represents one of the best betting opportunities of the evening with the favorite showing overwhelming support.

Race 6 – Starter Allowance, 1 Mile 70 Yards

Win: #1 Lady Hipster (67% confidence)
Place: #2 Usain D’oro (83% confidence)🥇
Show: #4 Beamer (67% confidence)🥉

Notes: Lady Hipster receives strong support though one analyst prefers Beamer on top. Usain d’Oro appears consistently in the exacta across nearly all selections. This represents a competitive three-horse race with the exacta and trifecta appearing solid.

Race 7 – Claiming, 7 Furlongs

Win: #4 Olivia G (83% confidence)
Place: #2 Miss Rosie (50% confidence)🥉
Show: #3 Radiant Rebel (40% confidence)
Alternative: #5 Apriority Catch (40% confidence)🥈

Notes: Olivia G receives overwhelming support as the clear favorite. The place and show positions show more division with analysts split between several contenders. Radiant Rebel represents value as one analyst’s top selection despite longer odds.

Race 8 – Claiming, 7 Furlongs WIN + EXACTA

Win: #10 Gastown (83% confidence)🥇
Place: #1 Mission Belle (83% confidence)🥈
Show: #8 Flowersforshantell (50% confidence)
Alternative: #5 Chrome Racer (20% confidence)

Notes: Gastown and Mission Belle show exceptionally strong consensus as the top two finishers. The exacta appears very solid with multiple analysts in agreement. Chrome Racer represents a value play despite limited analyst support.


Early Pick 4 (Races 1-4)

Key horses: 1-2-9 / 1-3-4-5 / 1-4-8 / 4
Total cost: 18 dollars for 1 dollar base
[User provided]

Pick Pony analysts recommend focusing on the strong consensus picks in races 1, 2, and 4 while spreading slightly in race 3 due to the competitive nature of the maiden claiming event.

Late Pick 4 (Races 5-8)

Key horses: 2-4-8 / 1-4 / 2-4-5 / 1-10
Total cost: 18 dollars for 1 dollar base
[User provided]

This structure capitalizes on the strong consensus in race 5 with Distorted Song while providing coverage in the more competitive races 6 and 7.

Best Single Race Plays

Race 1: Win bet on Gabbys Bling with 100% analyst consensus represents exceptional value at 3-1 morning line odds.

Race 5: Distorted Song shows unanimous support and appears as the strongest betting opportunity of the evening. Consider win and exacta boxes with Reckless Love and Velocity Storm.

Race 6: Lady Hipster at 5-1 morning line odds represents significant value with strong analyst support. This is the designated play of the day.
[User provided]

Exacta Plays

Race 2: Box #2 Peso Pesado and #9 Wicked Rose (67% consensus on both horses in top two positions)

Race 8: Wheel #10 Gastown over #1 Mission Belle, #8 Flowersforshantell (83% consensus on top two)

Trifecta Value

Race 4: Box #1 Izzy’s Baby Boy, #4 B Minor, #7 Golden Quality (strong consensus on top three with good odds separation)

Race 6: Box #1 Lady Hipster, #2 Usain d’Oro, #4 Beamer (all three horses receive significant analyst support)

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