Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Mahoning Valley, Octber 23, 2025.

Pick Pony Expert Picks are based on analytics from our Past Performance Sheets and related analytical tools. Sometimes, a pick may appear twice; in such cases, we expect the horse to finish in one of the two predicted positions. You can sum the confidence scores to assess our overall confidence in the prediction.

Race #1

1. #5 Kiddie Cocktail – 63% confidence
2. #4 Hot Dispute – 50% confidence
3. #3 Grimes Glen – 38% confidence
4. #2 Power Vision – 38% confidence

Race #2

1. #7 Country Promises – 75% confidence
2. #6 City Blaze – 50% confidence
3. #5 Lady Loves Money – 25% confidence
4. #4 In Too Deep – 25% confidence

Race #3

1. #5 Shivaree – 75% confidence
2. #3 Don’t Cross Jack – 50% confidence
3. #2 Bailamos – 25% confidence
4. #8 Flat Lucky – 25% confidence

Race #4

1. #8 Bah Humbug – 38% confidence
2. #4 Kitty Kitana (GB) – 38% confidence
3. #2 Explosive Lady – 38% confidence
4. #3 Getaway Bay – 38% confidence

Race #5

1. #12 Mr. Riffle – 63% confidence
2. #1 Unbridled O’brien – 50% confidence
3. #3 Dream Police – 25% confidence
4. #10 Skytree – 25% confidence

Race #6

1. #4 Knicks Gate – 63% confidence
2. #3 It’s Last Call – 50% confidence
3. #7 Beechmont – 38% confidence
4. #1 Stay Frosty – 25% confidence

Race #7

1. #2 Laketown Elly – 38% confidence
2. #4 Cowgirltakemeaway – 25% confidence
3. #5 Crack A Smile – 25% confidence
4. #8 Ron Dah Lou – 25% confidence

Race #8

1. #8 Wild Domain – 50% confidence
2. #4 Couple Beers Deep – 38% confidence
3. #10 Rich On The River – 25% confidence
4. #6 Truth N Soul – 25% confidence

Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays

Daily Double Opportunities:

• Races 1-2: #5 Kiddie Cocktail with #7 Country Promises
• Races 7-8: #2 Laketown Elly with #8 Wild Domain

Pick 3 Value Play:

• Races 1-2-3: #5 Kiddie Cocktail / #7 Country Promises / #5 Shivaree

Exacta Box Recommendations:

• Race 4: Box #8 Bah Humbug, #4 Kitty Kitana, #2 Explosive Lady (competitive race)
• Race 7: Box #2 Laketown Elly, #4 Cowgirltakemeaway, #5 Crack A Smile (wide open field)

Trifecta Value:

• Race 3: #5 Shivaree / #3 Don’t Cross Jack / #2 Bailamos, #8 Flat Lucky
• Race 5: #12 Mr. Riffle / #1 Unbridled O’brien / #3 Dream Police, #10 Skytree

Long Shot Value Plays:

• Race 1: #2 Power Vision (15-1 odds with expert support)
• Race 4: #3 Getaway Bay (5-1 odds, multiple expert mentions)
• Race 7: #5 Crack a Smile (6-1 odds, breaking maiden last out)