Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.
Race 1 – Claiming, 1 mile 110 yards, Dirt
Win: Devil's Cay 75% confidence🥇
Place: Caughtandcollected 55% confidence🥉
Show: Tiger Moon 60% confidence
Alternative: Rainy Skies 40% confidence🥈
Strong form at Penn National with multiple analyst endorsement. Horse was pointed out for capability and recent consistency.
Race 2 – Starter Optional Claiming, 1 mile, Dirt
Win: Cocktail Humor 70% confidence🥉
Place: Casa Juanita 60% confidence
Show: Blo By The Field 50% confidence🥈Alternative: Lady Sriracha 35% confidence
Cocktail Humor returns from layoff with positive reception from multiple analysts. Casa Juanita shows outstanding track-specific form with six placings from seven recent attempts.
Race 3 – Maiden Claiming, 1 mile, Dirt
Win: Mega Changer 65% confidence🥈
Place: Diamondinthesand 55% confidence🥇
Show: Holy Hippie 50% confidence
Alternative: Poor Mans Lady 45% confidence
Analysts note this is a competitive race between top two selections. Mega Changer demonstrates current winning form with three wins from eight attempts this season.
Race 4 – Maiden Claiming, 6 furlongs, Dirt
Win: Ravi 60% confidence🥇
Place: Stonecoldhandsome 55% confidence🥉
Show: My Gemstone 50% confidence
Alternative: Coach Kriv 45% confidence
Maiden special weight with evenly matched field. Ravi shows recent in-the-money form running third last start at this track. Coach Kriv appears as debut option with upside potential.
Race 5 – Claiming, 6 furlongs, Dirt
Win: Quick Tempo 70% confidence🥉
Place: Yuletide Gallop 60% confidence🥈
Show: BYK 50% confidence
Alternative: Oneofthegoodguys 40% confidence
Quick Tempo garnered top pick support from most analysts with fitter form expected. Yuletide Gallop resumes from 22-week layoff with morning line odds suggesting strength. Field features recent Penn National winner.
Race 6 – Maiden Special Weight, 5.5 furlongs, Dirt
Win: Sams After Party 60% confidence
Place: Baltic 55% confidence🥉
Show: Nantucket 50% confidence🥇
Alternative: Swiss 35% confidence
Close contest between multiple first-up runners and veterans. Sams After Party returns with consistent track experience showing multiple placings this season. Baltic displays strong form when fresh.
Race 7 – Claiming, 1 mile 110 yards, Dirt
Win: Makabim 65% confidence
Place: Here's Waldo 60% confidence🥉
Show: Spurs Up 50% confidence🥇
Alternative: Bold Ambition 40% confidence
Described as close race between top picks. Makabim edges consensus as primary choice with consistent placing form. Here's Waldo presents outstanding track form with two wins from 11 attempts this season.
Race 8 – Claiming, 6 furlongs, Dirt
Win: Malibu Knight 75% confidence
Place: Dancing On Air 55% confidence
Show: Wizardofez 50% confidence
Alternative: Bearing Down 40% confidence🥉
Clear consensus favorite arriving with maiden-breaking recent win at this track. Horse should benefit from fitness improvement. Field presents competitive options for place and show consideration.
Race 9 – Claiming, 6 furlongs, Dirt
Win: Warrior's Miss 70% confidence
Place: Desi's Reward 50% confidence
Show: Take Time to Dream 45% confidence
Alternative: Uptown Seraphina 40% confidence
Warrior's Miss comes off strong Penn National win with track affinity. Described as key chance by multiple analysts. Race noted as competitive with several horses holding recent form credentials.
Recommended Exotic Plays by Race
Race 1: Exacta combinations using Devil's Cay over Tiger Moon and Caughtandcollected. Box exacta with Devil's Cay, Tiger Moon, and Caughtandcollected. Trifecta wheel Devil's Cay over Caughtandcollected-Tiger Moon-Rainy Skies.
Race 2: Exacta combinations with Cocktail Humor over Casa Juanita and Blo By The Field. Box exacta including Casa Juanita and Blo By The Field for potential upsets. Pick 3 potential starting Race 1-2-3 using consensus picks.
Race 3: Exacta using Mega Changer over Diamondinthesand given tight consensus. Trifecta with Mega Changer and Diamondinthesand in top two positions over Holy Hippie and Poor Mans Lady. Superfecta considering place options.
Race 4: Exacta using Ravi over Stonecoldhandsome and My Gemstone. Coach Kriv debut angle for box exacta. Trifecta with Ravi and Stonecoldhandsome over maiden runners.
Race 5: Exacta with Quick Tempo over Yuletide Gallop and BYK. Strong favorite suggests moderate odds. Trifecta using top three consensus picks. Daily double with Race 4-5 using consensus.
Race 6: Exacta using Sams After Party over Baltic and Nantucket given competitive nature. Box exacta recommended due to multiple track-returners. Swiss considered as longshot show play in superfecta.
Race 7: Exacta with Makabim over Here's Waldo given close race indicators. Box exacta with Makabim, Here's Waldo, and Spurs Up. Trifecta combinations for place-picking upsets.
Race 8: Exacta with Malibu Knight over Dancing On Air and Wizardofez. Strong consensus suggests better value in place and show exotics. Box trifecta with top four consensus picks.
Race 9: Exacta with Warrior's Miss over Desi's Reward and Take Time to Dream. Trifecta using Warrior's Miss over place combinations. Consider Uptown Seraphina for upset trifecta angles.
Value Play Observations
Race 1 Value: Tiger Moon at 4/1 shows improved form potential and multiple analyst endorsement as secondary choice. Deserves consideration as underneath in exotic combinations.
Race 2 Value: Casa Juanita at 3/1 presents value with six placings from seven recent attempts at track. Consistent form horse often overlooked in favor of shippers.
Race 3 Value: Diamondinthesand at 7/2 provides overlay potential in competitive maiden field. Strong form with fresh return and analysts describe tight top competition.
Race 4 Value: My Gemstone at 9/2 represents morning line value showing top pick status from multiple sources despite longer odds. Maiden special weight angle with first-time starters.
Race 5 Value: BYK at 3/1 offers track-form value with strong Penn National history noted by analysts. Second-tier pick status may result in underlaid pricing relative to form profile.
Race 6 Value: Baltic at 3/1 presents value as placed-when-fresh runner returning to preferred surface. Multiple analysts identify as capable of winning despite moderate morning line.
Race 7 Value: Here's Waldo at 3/1 represents even-money value in what analysts describe as close race. Outstanding track form with two wins from 11 attempts suggests form supports odds.
Race 8 Value: Wizardofez at 6/1 provides place value as race-back at reduced claiming level. Finished only eight lengths behind winner last start at track.
Race 9 Value: Desi's Reward at 3/1 shows value as recent Penn National placer returning to preferred distance. Analysts note capable of money with positive form indicators.
