Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Turfway Park, December 27, 2025.


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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.

Race 1
Maiden Claiming, 8.5 Furlongs (1 1/16 Miles), All Weather, Purse: $30,800
Win: Fall In Love (8) – 40% Confidence
Place: Champagne Nights (2) – 35% Confidence
Show: British Empress (13) – 20% Confidence
Alternative: Pivot To The Power (12) – 5% Confidence

  • Notes: Analyst consensus is split between the top two, but the favorite has shown more consistent placing form recently. Watch for the Brisnet pick (2) to improve dropping in class.

Race 2
Claiming, 6.5 Furlongs, All Weather, Purse: $21,700
Win: Goshen (3) – 60% Confidence
Place: A Real Hero (2) – 20% Confidence
Show: Barb's Vortex (6) – 15% Confidence
Alternative: Save The Bees (14) – 5% Confidence

  • Notes: Pick Pony analysts see the top selection as the one to beat, chasing a third consecutive victory. The 2 horse is a solid alternative if the favorite falters.

Race 3
Claiming, 8.5 Furlongs (1 1/16 Miles), All Weather, Purse: Est. $24,000
Win: Minnesota Munny (6) – 45% Confidence
Place: Under The Bed (8) – 30% Confidence
Show: Bijou Baby (5) – 15% Confidence
Alternative: Hidden Presence (3) – 10% Confidence

  • Notes: A competitive heat where the 8 horse's track history (4 wins at Turfway) makes them a dangerous threat to the favorite.

Race 4
Maiden Claiming, 6.5 Furlongs, All Weather, Purse: $30,800
Win: Campaign Mischief (6) – 40% Confidence
Place: Run Mama Run (7) – 30% Confidence
Show: Charisma In Motion (5) – 20% Confidence
Alternative: High Dollar Dolly (12) – 10% Confidence

  • Notes: First-time starters and class droppers mix here. Analysts suggest watching the tote board for the 5 and 6, who hail from strong stables.

Race 5
Maiden Special Weight, 6.5 Furlongs, All Weather, Purse: $100,000
Win: Lady Chic (2) – 75% Confidence
Place: Magical Day (1) – 15% Confidence
Show: Chasing Glory (11) – 5% Confidence
Alternative: Jittier Girl (3) – 5% Confidence

  • Notes: One of the strongest consensus picks of the night. The 2 horse is widely expected to break her maiden in this high-purse event.

Race 6
Claiming, 8 Furlongs (1 Mile), All Weather, Purse: Est. $30,000
Win: Bread To Run (1) – 50% Confidence
Place: Surprenant Cocca (2) – 35% Confidence
Show: Sweet Note (3) – 10% Confidence
Alternative: Storm Bay (7) – 5% Confidence

  • Notes: A tight battle between the inside two runners. Analysts favor the 1 for the trip but respect the 2's recent winning form.

Race 7
Allowance Optional Claiming, 8 Furlongs (1 Mile), All Weather, Purse: $102,000
Win: Brilliant Bomb (4) – 35% Confidence
Place: Spirit Of A Walkon (7) – 30% Confidence
Show: Vitruvian Man (8) – 25% Confidence
Alternative: No Joke Joe (9) – 10% Confidence

  • Notes: Analysts are divided here, offering potential value. The 4 horse is a slight edge due to back class, but the 7 and 8 are very live.

Race 8
Last Hurrah Stakes, 9 Furlongs (1 1/8 Miles), All Weather, Purse: $125,000
Win: Final Gambit (3) – 80% Confidence
Place: Energize (9) – 10% Confidence
Show: Maximum Promise (4) – 5% Confidence
Alternative: Anegada (2) – 5% Confidence

  • Notes: The standout favorite of the card. Analysts nearly unanimously back the 3 horse. The 9 is the primary exotic key.

Race 9
Starter Allowance, 6 Furlongs, All Weather, Purse: $28,100
Win: Empire's Best (4) – 45% Confidence
Place: More Than Five (9) – 30% Confidence
Show: Unworkable (2) – 15% Confidence
Alternative: Cut Glass (8) – 10% Confidence

  • Notes: A sprint where pace will be key. The 4 horse is favored to utilize speed, but the 9 has a winning streak that demands respect.

Race 10
Maiden Claiming, 6 Furlongs, All Weather, Purse: $39,600
Win: Don't Even (5) – 55% Confidence
Place: Lolly Poppin (13) – 25% Confidence
Show: Oh Donna Donna (4) – 15% Confidence
Alternative: Real N Spectacular (11) – 5% Confidence

  • Notes: Analysts expect the 5 horse to graduate today after a solid debut. The 13 is the main danger if they can overcome the wide post.

Recommended Exotic Plays by Race

Race 1: Exacta Box 2-8-13. The top three contenders are well clear of the rest of the field. Including the 12 in a small Trifecta part-wheel could pay off if the layoff horse fires.

Race 3: Trifecta Key 6 over 3, 5, 8. Minnesota Munny looks solid on top, but the track specialist (Under The Bed) and the recent winner (Bijou Baby) offer good value underneath.

Race 5: Cold Exacta 2-1. Lady Chic is a standout, and Magical Day from the rail is the logical runner-up. A straight wager maximizes value here given the short price on the winner.

Race 8: Trifecta 3 / 9 / 2, 4. Final Gambit is the single of the day. Key him over Energize and spread slightly for third with Anegada and Maximum Promise.

Race 9: Superfecta Box 2, 4, 8, 9. This race has several horses with conflicting form lines. Boxing the top four allows you to catch a price if Unworkable or Cut Glass upsets the top two.


Value Play Observations

Race 1: Pivot To The Power (12) is listed at 8-1 on the morning line but has back class from Presque Isle. If the favorites falter, she is the most likely to pick up the pieces at a price.

Race 3: Under The Bed (8) is a “track specialist” with four wins at Turfway. Despite the layoff, her affinity for this surface makes her a must-use at 5-2 or better.

Race 6: Storm Bay (7) is 15-1 on the morning line but hits the board consistently (6 placings in 14 runs). She is an excellent candidate to round out the bottom of Trifectas and Superfectas at huge odds.

Race 7: No Joke Joe (9) is 4-1 but could drift up. Coming off a maiden-breaking win, he has “dangerous” potential and represents good value against more exposed runners like Brilliant Bomb.

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