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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 Expert Picks – Race 1 – Maiden Special Weight – 8F – Dirt – approx 4:55 pm
Win: 12. Quarry – 85% confidence
Notes: Analysts see Quarry as a strong, reliable closing type with proven form at the trip. The race commentary repeatedly states that the winner is very likely to come from the top pair, and Quarry is consistently preferred on top. Pace projections suggest a genuine tempo, setting up well for Quarry’s late run.
Place: 4. Chayton – 80% confidence
Notes: Chayton is repeatedly mentioned as the main resistance to Quarry, with solid and consistent recent efforts. Analysts expect Chayton to sit close to the pace and fight on strongly through the lane. Many Pick Pony analysts view the exacta revolving around Quarry and Chayton as highly likely.
Show: 1. Veneno Futuro – 65% confidence
Notes: Veneno Futuro appears in all major pick sets as a key underneath horse. While still a maiden with a big price, the runner is consistently respected as a candidate to fill out trifectas and superfectas, especially if the top pair pull clear and a fringe contender picks up tired horses late.
Alternative: 3. Most Probable – 70% confidence
Notes: Most Probable is another constant presence in analysts’ top fours, identified as a solid mid-price option with enough tactical speed to secure a good position. Pick Pony analysts see this runner as an ideal superfecta anchor or a saver in vertical exotics.
Race 2 Expert Picks – Race 2 – Claiming – 8F – Dirt – approx 5:25 pm
Win: 3. Shiesty To Chase – 70% confidence
Notes: Shiesty To Chase is rated on top by multiple analysts, with form pointing to improvement at this distance. Commentary notes that the winner is very likely to come from the top three choices, and this runner is usually listed first. Stalking style should be well suited to a moderate-to-honest pace.
Place: 1. Jeopardy Theory – 75% confidence
Notes: Jeopardy Theory is included in virtually every analyst’s top three, with some giving this runner win consideration. The combination of a good draw and competitive recent figures makes this a key contender. Pick Pony analysts consider Jeopardy Theory a must-use in all exactas and multi-race wagers.
Show: 12. Mucho Mojo – 60% confidence
Notes: Mucho Mojo is repeatedly slotted in the top three or four, often as the outside attacking type who can finish off strongly. Value-minded analysts see this runner as a potential overlay if the board underestimates the closing kick.
Alternative: 7. J P Hellish – 65% confidence
Notes: J P Hellish is highlighted by more than one analyst as a strong late runner who can be finishing best of all if the pace picks up. While not on top for most, the horse appears to be a prime candidate to impact trifectas and superfectas, especially if early leaders soften each other.
Race 3 Expert Picks – Race 3 – Claiming – 1323Y – Dirt – approx 5:55 pm
Win: 3. Flame Dancer – 75% confidence
Notes: Flame Dancer is a clear consensus selection for the win, repeatedly named first in structured selection lists. Analysts emphasize strong recent performances and a good fit to the distance. Expected prominent trip and reliable finishing kick boost confidence.
Place: 6. May May Strong – 65% confidence
Notes: May May Strong is frequently noted as a pace player likely to show early speed. Analysts believe this runner can stick on for a major share, especially if able to control or share a moderate lead. Connections inspire additional respect relative to rivals.
Show: 8. Bilyana – 65% confidence
Notes: Bilyana is prominently mentioned in writeups for likely early pressure and has been placed high in multiple sets of picks. Pick Pony analysts see upside if the track favors speed, with this runner a strong inclusion in exactas and trifectas.
Alternative: 10. Catatonic – 60% confidence
Notes: Catatonic is consistently listed among the main four, sometimes as high as second behind Flame Dancer. The horse is seen as a capable closer who can capitalize if the primary pace horses duel too hard early.
Race 4 Expert Picks – Race 4 – Claiming – 8F – Dirt – approx 6:25 pm
Win: 6. Poema – 80% confidence
Notes: Poema is the top choice for all major handicapping sources considered, picked first in structured selections. Analysts expect Poema to be on or near the lead and to control the race if able to settle comfortably. The horse fits the conditions well and has the clearest profile in a competitive field.
Place: 10. Streaking – 70% confidence
Notes: Streaking is consistently rated second and also singled out as an improving type with a dangerous late kick. One analyst notes the horse as an outsider who can surprise if pace and trip work out. Pick Pony analysts regard the 6–10 exacta as a prime play.
Show: 3. Well Aware – 60% confidence
Notes: Well Aware appears routinely in the top three or four across analysts, with enough tactical speed and prior efforts to justify inclusion. Best suited to filling out trifectas, especially if the main pair assert class.
Alternative: 12. Positive Carry – 55% confidence
Notes: Positive Carry is cataloged as the fourth main contender in specialist lists. As a deeper closer type, this runner becomes more interesting if the leaders overdo it early. Projected odds suggest a possible value inclusion on the bottom of vertical exotics.
Race 5 Expert Picks – Race 5 – Maiden Special Weight – 9F 218Y – Dirt – approx 6:55 pm
Win: 8. Thames – 70% confidence
Notes: Analysts repeatedly remark they cannot split the top trio, but Thames often appears slightly favored or at least equal among them. This runner is a strong stamina type expected to see out the demanding distance, making Thames a logical primary key in exotics.
Place: 12. Mendee – 75% confidence
Notes: Mendee is described as arriving in top form and setting a clear standard among the staying types. Some analysis suggests Mendee could prove the class of the race if the trip is smooth. Many Pick Pony analysts advise using Thames and Mendee strongly together in exactas.
Show: 10. Mckinzie’s Glory – 70% confidence
Notes: Mckinzie’s Glory brings a sharp recent win and is unanimously included in the main group of three. Tactical versatility and proven form make this runner very dangerous to upset the projected outcome, especially if the pace scenario tilts toward mid-pack stalkers.
Alternative: 3. Rather Distinct – 60% confidence
Notes: Rather Distinct is the fourth unanimous inclusion across analyst lists and is a particularly popular value pick in some services. Expected to improve over a route of ground, this runner fits best for trifecta and superfecta players aiming for a better price underneath the logical trio.
Race 6 Expert Picks – Race 6 – Allowance – 1433Y – Dirt – approx 7:25 pm
Win: 1. Ripassare – 95% confidence
Notes: Ripassare is the most confident pick on the card, chosen on top by every analyst in both structured and narrative selections. Strong recent form, class, and ideal distance profile make this runner the standout. Pick Pony analysts view Ripassare as a potential single in multi-race wagers.
Place: 4. Promises To Dance – 80% confidence
Notes: Promises To Dance appears in every set of top four selections and is widely regarded as the main danger if Ripassare falters. A closing style should benefit from any early pace pressure, offering reliable inclusion for exactas.
Show: 5. White Rocks – 70% confidence
Notes: White Rocks is regularly slotted in the top three, and commentary notes early pace potential alongside others. Analysts expect a forward placing, making this runner a logical component in trifectas and as backup in exactas with the favorite.
Alternative: 3. Right Now – 65% confidence
Notes: Right Now is a consistent fourth pick, highlighting the horse as better than the typical outsider. Projected to track just behind the main group, this runner becomes especially appealing as a superfecta key if the favorite dominates but the second tier is bunched.
Race 7 Expert Picks – Race 7 – Claiming – 1323Y – Dirt – approx 7:55 pm
Win: 7. Arrasou – 85% confidence
Notes: Arrasou is strongly tipped across all services, described as poised for a big run off recent progress. Pace and class indicators point to this runner as the one to beat. Pick Pony analysts consider Arrasou a legitimate single for many players.
Place: 5. Commanded – 75% confidence
Notes: Commanded appears as the key rival almost everywhere and is consistently rated at or near second choice. The horse’s connections and prior performances at similar trips support a strong expectation of being in the exacta.
Show: 3. Sombra Dorada – 70% confidence
Notes: Sombra Dorada is a favored value runner, topping one analyst’s list and holding a consistent presence in the top three. As a horse with reliable form, Sombra Dorada is considered an ideal use in place, show, and vertical exotics.
Alternative: 1. These Apples – 60% confidence
Notes: These Apples appears in every major top four set as the main backup underneath the leading trio. The horse’s profile suggests a fair chance to sneak into trifectas or superfectas if one of the more-fancied runners fails to fire.
Race 8 Expert Picks – Race 8 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 9F 218Y – Dirt – approx 8:25 pm
Win: 1. Sugoi – 80% confidence
Notes: Sugoi stands out as the clear consensus winner, with nearly all analysts placing this runner on top. Form and distance suitability are repeatedly highlighted. Despite the large field, Sugoi’s class edge makes this a focal point in multi-race and vertical wagers.
Place: 3. Maximum Promise – 70% confidence
Notes: Maximum Promise is regularly ranked just behind Sugoi and is viewed as a serious threat, especially if the stretch-out plays to stamina. Analysts expect this runner to sit within striking range and make a strong late run.
Show: 12. Prove – 65% confidence
Notes: Prove, although often quoted at a big price, appears in multiple analyst lists as a longshot capable of running into the places if the leaders falter. Pick Pony analysts highlight this horse as an attractive value play in trifectas and supers.
Alternative: 11. Ultimate Strike – 55% confidence
Notes: Ultimate Strike completes the core group of four and is featured as a late-running type who may benefit if the pace is strong. Because of the expected odds, this runner offers added payoff potential in deeper exotics.
Race 9 Expert Picks – Race 9 – Maiden Claiming – 8F – Dirt – approx 8:55 pm
Win: 9. Fall In Love – 80% confidence
Notes: Fall In Love is a strong consensus pick to close the card, appearing as the top choice in structured selections and narrative notes. Analysts expect tactical positioning and steady finishing strength to make this horse very hard to deny.
Place: 5. Tempest Jill – 70% confidence
Notes: Tempest Jill is consistently picked in the top two, with commentary that the race should revolve around the top pair. Stalking style and competitive recent performances point to another big run, making this runner a core exacta piece.
Show: 4. Le Bien Le Mal – 75% confidence
Notes: Le Bien Le Mal is singled out by one analyst as the top tip and is regularly mentioned as a strong threat. The horse’s profile suggests upside at likely fair odds, and Pick Pony analysts see this runner as a key trifecta and win saver candidate.
Alternative: 6. Saras Shining Star – 65% confidence
Notes: Saras Shining Star appears in every major top four as a consistent stalker type. Projected to sit close behind the leaders, this runner is well-placed to grab a share if one of the top trio underperforms or encounters traffic.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Pick Pony analysts recommend focusing on races with the strongest consensus and clear separation between primary and secondary contenders.
Race 1 – Exacta and Trifecta Focus
Analysts suggest building exactas and trifectas around Quarry and Chayton, with Veneno Futuro and Most Probable underneath.
Win key: 12
Exacta structure: 12 over 4,1,3 and 4 over 12,1,3
Trifecta structure: 12,4 over 12,4,1,3 over 12,4,1,3
Race 2 – Trifecta with Spreading in Third
Form commentary hints that the top three are significantly stronger than the rest, but J P Hellish has a strong late run profile.
Win key: 3,1
Trifecta structure: 3,1 over 3,1,12,7 over 3,1,12,7
Race 5 – Stamina-Based Vertical Plays
The top three are tightly matched, so Pick Pony analysts advocate using all three on top in combinations with Rather Distinct as a value fourth.
Win keys: 8,12,10
Trifecta structure: 8,12,10 over 8,12,10,3 over 8,12,10,3
Superfecta emphasis: 8,12,10,3 boxed or 8,12,10 over 8,12,10,3 over 8,12,10,3
Race 6 – Single in Horizontal Bets
Ripassare’s overwhelming consensus rating makes this race attractive for multi-race wagers.
Pick 3, Pick 4 anchor: single 1 Ripassare
Exacta: 1 over 4,5,3 with a saver 4 over 1 if seeking coverage
Race 7 – Value on Sombra Dorada Underneath
Arrasou is a strong key, but Sombra Dorada’s combination of consistency and analyst support makes that runner the central value option.
Exacta structure: 7 over 5,3,1 and 3 over 7,5,1 for value
Trifecta: 7 over 5,3,1 over 5,3,1
Race 8 – Longshot-Enhanced Trifectas
Sugoi is the class of the race, but Maximum Promise and Prove can significantly boost payouts.
Win key: 1
Trifecta: 1 over 3,12,11 over 3,12,11 with extra focus on 12 as the main price horse
Race 9 – Spread Around the Strong Top Trio
Fall In Love is the primary key, with Tempest Jill and Le Bien Le Mal close behind. Saras Shining Star anchors deeper exotics.
Win key: 9 with saver win bets on 4
Exacta: 9 over 5,4,6 and 4 over 9,5,6
Trifecta: 9,4 over 9,4,5,6 over 9,4,5,6
These structures leverage the strongest consensus opinions while introducing value with well-supported alternatives and longshots in underneath positions.
