Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

Del Mar’s penultimate day of the 2025 summer meet presents an exceptional 11-race card featuring three stakes races and a total of $1,061,000 in purse money. The afternoon begins at 1:30 PM with gates opening at 11:30 AM, setting the stage for what promises to be one of the most competitive cards of the meet. The program showcases the Grade 1 Del Mar Debutante Stakes, the Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf Stakes, and the Grade 2 John C. Mabee Stakes, providing excellent opportunities for two-year-old development and established fillies and mares to shine.

The card features an impressive collection of trainers led by Bob Baffert, who has multiple runners in several races including three entries in the featured Debutante Stakes. Other prominent conditioners represented include Phil D’Amato, Michael McCarthy, Richard Mandella, and Tim Yakteen, ensuring competitive fields throughout the afternoon.

Weather Forecast and Track Conditions

Saturday’s weather calls for ideal racing conditions with temperatures reaching a comfortable high of 78 degrees Fahrenheit under clear skies. Morning temperatures will start around 73 degrees with light winds expected throughout the day. The pleasant Southern California weather should provide optimal conditions for both turf and dirt racing, with no precipitation expected.

Track surface conditions are expected to be fast for the main track with the turf course rated firm. The consistent dry weather pattern leading up to race day suggests traditional Del Mar track characteristics will be in play, favoring speed on the dirt and potentially setting up for tactical races on the grass.

Race-by-Race Analysis

Race 1: Turf Mile Maiden Special Weight for Fillies and Mares

This opening contest for maiden fillies and mares presents several intriguing contenders. Nafisa, trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by Juan Hernandez, enters as the morning line favorite at 5-2. The Quality Road filly brings solid breeding and the powerful Baffert-Hernandez combination that has been dominant with debut runners.

The Mizen Queen represents European breeding under trainer Dan Blacker and appears well-suited to the turf surface. At 3-1 morning line odds, she offers value consideration against the favorite. Heads in Beds stretches out from shorter distances and could benefit from the added ground, while Church Lady brings international breeding that often translates well to American turf racing.

The pace scenario appears moderate with several runners likely to press forward early. Nafisa’s tactical versatility gives her multiple options, while The Mizen Queen’s closing style could prove effective if the pace develops appropriately. This race sets up well for a pace-dependent outcome.

Key angles to consider include the Baffert factor with debut runners and the European breeding influence on turf. The stretch-out in distance favors several runners who have shown promise at shorter distances.

Selection: Nafisa to win, The Mizen Queen and Heads in Beds for exotic play.

Race 2: Dirt Claiming Race

This claiming event for older horses presents a competitive field at the $12,500 claiming level. Man Child enters as the morning line favorite at 6-5 for trainer George Papaprodromou. The Creative Cause gelding has shown consistent form in recent starts and appears well-placed in this spot.

Get Her Number offers solid value at 3-1 morning line odds and has demonstrated ability at this claiming level. Morello represents another viable option at 4-1, bringing Classic Empire breeding that could prove effective on the Del Mar main track.

The pace appears contested with several early speed types, which could set up well for closers. Man Child’s versatility allows for tactical adjustments, while the claiming level provides excellent betting opportunities for value seekers.

This race offers potential for upset possibilities given the competitive nature of claiming events. Form cycles and recent workouts become crucial factors in handicapping this competitive field.

Selection: Man Child to win, Get Her Number and Morello for exacta coverage.

Race 3: Turf Mile Maiden Special Weight for Two-Year-Olds

The juvenile turf mile presents an intriguing field of first-time starters and lightly raced colts. St Petersburg, another Baffert trainee with Juan Hernandez aboard, enters at 4-1 morning line odds. The Constitution colt brings excellent breeding for the turf surface.

Still Bulletproof appears interesting at 3-1 for trainer Patrick Biancone, who has shown skill with juvenile turf runners. The Idiot Proof colt could prove well-suited to the grass surface. Honey’s Choice represents solid value at 5-1 with Liam’s Map breeding that translates well to turf racing.

Several scratches have reduced the field size, potentially opening up racing room for tactical positioning. The pace appears manageable for a juvenile race, allowing for development of racing scenarios that favor different running styles.

First-time starter angles become important in this contest, particularly with trainers known for having juveniles ready on debut. The turf surface often rewards proper breeding and preparation.

Selection: Still Bulletproof to win, St Petersburg and Honey’s Choice for exotic consideration.

Race 4: Dirt Maiden Special Weight for Two-Year-Old Fillies

This juvenile filly contest features several well-bred prospects making their debut. Sounds Lucky represents Bob Baffert at 5-2 morning line odds with Juan Hernandez riding. The Tiz the Law filly brings excellent breeding and the powerful trainer-jockey combination.

Revera enters at 3-1 for trainer John Sadler with Antonio Fresu aboard. The Lexitonian filly shows promising workout patterns and could prove competitive at first asking. Wild Like the West offers solid value at 6-1 with Into Mischief breeding that often translates to early success.

The pace scenario appears moderate for a juvenile filly race, with several runners likely to show early speed. Tactical positioning will prove crucial in determining the final outcome.

Baffert’s exceptional record with debut two-year-old fillies makes Sounds Lucky a logical focus, while the competitive nature of the field offers opportunities for value plays. Recent workout patterns and breeding become key handicapping factors.

Selection: Sounds Lucky to win, Revera and Wild Like the West for exacta play.

Race 5: Turf Mile Maiden Claiming for Fillies and Mares

Rehearsal enters this maiden claiming event as the 7-2 morning line favorite for trainer Phil D’Amato. The Irish-bred filly has shown improvement in recent starts and appears well-suited to this turf mile distance. Her experience advantage could prove decisive against several lightly raced competitors.

Inner Fury offers solid value at 5-1 and represents another D’Amato trainee who could improve with racing. Without a Pout brings European breeding at 4-1 and appears capable of competing effectively at this level.

The claiming element adds another dimension to the handicapping process, with trainer intentions and horse placement becoming crucial factors. The pace appears moderate, favoring tactical racing throughout.

This race presents opportunities for both win betting and exotic play, with several horses capable of improvement. The maiden claiming level often produces competitive outcomes with value opportunities.

Selection: Rehearsal to win, Inner Fury and Without a Pout for exacta coverage.

Race 6: Del Mar Debutante Stakes (Grade 1) – Detailed Analysis

The 75th running of the Grade 1 Del Mar Debutante Stakes represents the premier event for two-year-old fillies on the West Coast, offering a $300,000 purse with $189,000 to the winner. This seven-furlong dirt test has historically served as a stepping stone to the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies, with past winners including Songbird, Brave Raj, and Halfbridled all going on to capture that championship race. Post time is set for 4:00 PM, making this the featured race of Saturday’s card.

Field Analysis and Key Contenders

Explora (Post 1, Juan Hernandez, 8-5 ML)

The morning line favorite represents Bob Baffert’s speed element in this competitive renewal. This daughter of Constitution captured her debut by an impressive 4¾ lengths at Del Mar over five furlongs, earning an 88 Beyer Speed Figure that stands as the highest in this field. Her tactical speed and proven ability at Del Mar make her formidable, though the rail post position presents challenges in a race likely to have early pace pressure.

Baffert noted her impressive debut performance, stating she worked well following that effort and showed no signs of regression. The combination with Juan Hernandez, who has ridden 17 of Baffert’s 20 wins at this meet, adds another layer of confidence. However, the inside post could prove problematic if multiple fillies show early speed, potentially forcing tactical adjustments that may not suit her running style.

Himika (Post 2, Kazushi Kimura, 2-1 ML)

The most accomplished filly in the field brings a perfect 2-for-2 record with both victories coming by open lengths. After breaking her maiden by six lengths in her debut, she captured the Grade 3 Sorrento Stakes by 4¼ lengths, establishing herself as the class of this crop. Her recent bullet workout of five furlongs in 58.60 seconds demonstrates her continued progression.

As a daughter of Curlin, she possesses the breeding to handle the seven-furlong distance effectively. Her tactical versatility allows for multiple race scenarios, though being positioned next to stablemate Explora in the starting gate creates interesting dynamics. Baffert expressed concern about having his two fastest fillies side by side, noting the unpredictable nature of such positioning.

Bottle of Rouge (Post 5, Mike Smith, 5-1 ML)

Baffert’s third entry represents the most seasoned runner in terms of race experience, though it took her two attempts to break her maiden. When she finally did at Del Mar, she dominated by 6¾ lengths in a performance Baffert described as “workmanlike” compared to his other fillies. Her breeding as a daughter of Vino Rosso suggests distance will be her ally as she moves forward in her career.

The addition of Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith indicates stable confidence in her ability to compete at this level. Baffert specifically noted that distance would be her friend and that she’s bred to handle classic distances. Her running style should allow her to sit off the early pace and make a sustained late run.

Bourbon and Ginger (Post 7, Mirco Demuro, 8-1 ML)

Richard Mandella’s charge represents the primary threat to Baffert’s dominance in this race. This daughter of Bolt d’Oro captured her debut victory by defeating fellow Debutante entrant Grandma Mary by half a length. Mandella’s assessment was direct: “She’s very smart and can run. We’ll find out if she’s as good as those monsters that Baffert has but she’s doing great”.

Her recent bullet workout of four furlongs in 47.60 seconds demonstrates her readiness for this challenge. The outside post position provides tactical advantages in a race likely to develop early pace pressure. Mandella’s reputation for having horses ready for peak efforts makes her particularly dangerous as a potential upset candidate.

Secondary Contenders

La Wally (Post 6, Antonio Fresu, 10-1 ML)

Mark Glatt’s filly captured her debut by the narrowest of margins, winning by a nose in a five-furlong contest on opening weekend. Glatt noted she benefited from having enough ground to work with in that victory and believes she will improve with added distance. Her Constitution breeding suggests she should handle the stretch to seven furlongs effectively.

At 10-1 morning line odds, she represents solid value if the race sets up favorably for her closing kick. The added distance should play to her strengths, and her tactical speed provides options for positioning.

Grandma Mary (Post 4, Ricky Gonzalez, 8-1 ML)

Despite finishing second to Bourbon and Ginger in her debut, this filly showed enough to warrant consideration at this level. The addition of blinkers for this start suggests connections believe equipment changes will unlock additional improvement. Her closing kick in that debut effort demonstrated her ability to finish strongly.

Racing behind horses in her debut provided valuable experience that could prove beneficial in a competitive stakes environment. If she can step forward with the equipment change, she could factor at attractive odds.

Longshot Considerations

Fourlynnes (Post 3, Hector I. Berrios, 20-1 ML)

At 20-1 morning line odds, this Luis Mendez trainee represents the longest shot in the field. Her debut victory came in a maiden race where she had to overcome traffic problems. While clearly outclassed by the top fillies in this field, maiden races can sometimes produce surprising results when fillies step forward significantly in their second starts.

Pace Analysis

The pace scenario presents fascinating dynamics with multiple speed elements. Explora figures to show early speed from the rail, while Himika possesses tactical versatility that allows her to press or sit slightly off the pace. The presence of other speed elements, including potential pressure from La Wally and Fourlynnes, could create a contested early pace that sets up well for late-running fillies like Bottle of Rouge and Bourbon and Ginger.

The seven-furlong distance at Del Mar typically favors fillies with tactical speed who can position well early and sustain their effort through the stretch. The potential for early pace pressure makes horses with closing kicks particularly interesting from a wagering perspective.

Key Angles and Wagering Strategies

Baffert’s historical dominance in this race cannot be ignored, having won it a record 11 times. His three-horse entry creates multiple strategic approaches for exotic wagering. The trainer-jockey combinations are particularly strong, with Hernandez aboard the favorite and the veteran Smith handling Bottle of Rouge.

The post position dynamics favor horses drawing outside posts, particularly in a field where early speed figures to be contested. Bourbon and Ginger’s outside draw provides tactical advantages, while the rail post creates challenges for Explora despite her favoritism.

Value opportunities exist with fillies like La Wally and Bourbon and Ginger, both offering attractive morning line odds while possessing legitimate chances to factor. The competitive nature of the field creates excellent exotic wagering opportunities, particularly in trifecta and superfecta pools.

Suggested Selections and Wagering Approach

Win bet: Himika represents the most accomplished filly with proven Grade 3 success and tactical versatility that provides multiple winning scenarios.

Exacta play: Focus on Himika and Bourbon and Ginger as the top two choices, with Explora and Bottle of Rouge as secondary options.

Trifecta strategy: Use Himika and Bourbon and Ginger on top, with Explora, Bottle of Rouge, and La Wally in the second and third positions.

Value play: Bourbon and Ginger at 8-1 morning line odds offers excellent value as a potential upset candidate with strong connections and tactical advantages.

The Grade 1 Debutante Stakes promises to deliver exceptional competition among the top two-year-old fillies on the West Coast, with Baffert’s trio facing legitimate challenges from Mandella and other accomplished conditioners. The race sets up well for tactical battles and potential upsets, creating excellent wagering opportunities across all pools.

Race 7: Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf Stakes – Detailed Analysis

The Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf Stakes represents a $100,000 test for two-year-old fillies stretching out to one mile on the turf course. This competitive field of 13 runners offers $63,000 to the winner, with post time scheduled for approximately 4:30 PM. The race serves as an important stepping stone for juvenile fillies looking to establish themselves in turf racing before potential Breeders’ Cup considerations.

The one-mile distance on Del Mar’s unique turf course creates tactical challenges, particularly with a large field that will require strategic positioning throughout. The downhill nature of Del Mar’s turf course often favors horses with tactical speed who can position well early and sustain their effort through the stretch.

Key Contenders

Yours Sincerely (Post 11, 5-1 ML)

The most impressive performer in recent starts, this Phil D’Amato trainee captured her local debut in dominant fashion with what expert handicappers described as “super easy on the eyes”. Her devastating late kick in that victory demonstrated the kind of closing ability that translates well to route racing on turf.

D’Amato noted her proven route form from European racing, suggesting she possesses the tactical versatility to handle the mile distance effectively. Her ability to overcome traffic problems in her debut while still delivering a powerful finishing kick indicates she can navigate the challenges of a large field.

The outside post position provides tactical advantages in a race likely to develop early pace pressure. Her European background suggests she should handle the tactical nature of turf racing, and the stretch to one mile appears well within her capabilities based on breeding and previous performances.

Queen Bay (Post 8, 9-2 ML)

Michael McCarthy’s charge brings tactical speed that should allow her to position effectively in the early stages while being bred to handle the mile distance. Juan Hernandez takes the mount, creating a strong trainer-jockey combination that has shown effectiveness throughout the Del Mar meet.

Her breeding suggests she should relish the added distance, and her tactical versatility provides multiple race scenarios. The ability to be part of the early pace while having enough stamina to sustain her effort makes her particularly dangerous in a race where positioning will prove crucial.

The post position allows for tactical flexibility, and her previous performances suggest she can rate effectively behind horses while maintaining position for a strong finish. Her combination of speed and stamina appears well-suited to this competitive renewal.

La Ville Lumiere (Post 1, 7-2 ML)

Despite drawing the rail post, this Michael McCarthy trainee enters as the morning line favorite based on her sprint victories. However, the stretch to one mile creates questions about her ability to maintain effectiveness over the longer distance.

Her breeding suggests she should handle the route, but the rail draw presents tactical challenges in a large field where early positioning becomes crucial. The inside post could prove problematic if multiple fillies show early speed, potentially forcing tactical adjustments that may not suit her preferred running style.

While she possesses the class to compete at this level, the combination of the rail post and distance stretch creates enough concerns to make her vulnerable at short odds. Her sprint speed will need to translate effectively to route racing for her to justify favoritism.

Improbable U (Post 9, 12-1 ML)

This Jonathan Thomas trainee finished second to Yours Sincerely in their previous encounter, staying on well enough to suggest she belongs at this level. Umberto Rispoli takes the mount, creating a trainer-jockey combination that has shown exceptional effectiveness with a 33% strike rate in the last two years and 40% at Del Mar specifically.

Her previous effort behind Yours Sincerely demonstrated her ability to finish strongly, though she was clearly outfinished in that contest. The added experience and potential improvement from that effort could make her competitive at attractive odds.

The post position provides tactical options, and her closing style should benefit from any early pace pressure. At 12-1 morning line odds, she represents solid value if the race sets up favorably for her late-running style.

Secondary Contenders

Cara Rose (Post 6, 8-1 ML)

This filly brings intrigue as she stretches out to two turns for the first time. Her connections appear confident about the distance, and her tactical positioning from the mid-pack post could prove advantageous in a large field.

The stretch to route racing often reveals hidden improvement in juvenile fillies, and her breeding suggests she should handle the added distance. Her ability to find a good stalking position could prove decisive if the pace develops appropriately.

Yellow Sun Dress (Post 2, 15-1 ML)

Her pedigree suggests she possesses the breeding to handle two turns effectively, and expert handicappers noted she exits a race they respect. The potential for first-route improvement makes her interesting at longer odds.

At 15-1 morning line odds, she represents solid value if she can step forward with the added distance. Her breeding and recent form suggest she could provide surprise value in exotic wagering pools.

Longshot Considerations

Motet (Post 4, 20-1 ML)

Despite inconsistent overall form, her four best efforts have all come on turf, creating an angle for handicappers willing to isolate her grass performances. Two solid turf starts in a row suggest she may be finding her preferred surface.

At 20-1 morning line odds, she offers potential value for exotic wagering if she can reproduce her better turf efforts. The large field and competitive nature create opportunities for longshots to factor at attractive prices.

Skatingthroughlife (Post 11, 30-1 ML)

With only two lifetime starts, she represents the unknown quantity that could improve significantly with added distance. The stretch to route racing off limited experience creates both risk and potential reward.

Expert handicappers noted the “stretchout appeal” and suggested trusting instincts with this filly. Her lack of extensive racing provides potential for significant improvement that could surprise at enormous odds.

Pace Analysis

The pace scenario presents moderate early pressure with several fillies likely to show tactical speed. Queen Bay figures to be forwardly placed early, while La Ville Lumiere’s sprint speed could force her to the front from the rail.

The presence of multiple horses with tactical speed creates opportunities for pace-dependent outcomes. Closers like Yours Sincerely and Improbable U should benefit from any early pressure, while mid-pack runners like Cara Rose could find favorable positioning.

The one-mile distance allows for tactical development, with the final outcome likely depending on how effectively horses can position themselves through the early stages while maintaining enough stamina for the stretch drive.

Key Angles and Wagering Strategies

The European connections and breeding represented by several runners create angles for handicappers focused on turf specialists. Yours Sincerely’s European background and D’Amato’s skill with grass horses make her particularly attractive.

The trainer-jockey combinations provide additional angles, particularly the Rispoli-Thomas connection with Improbable U at attractive odds. The statistical success of this pairing creates value opportunities.

Post position dynamics favor horses drawing outside posts in this large field, while the rail creates challenges for La Ville Lumiere despite her favoritism. The tactical nature of turf racing rewards horses with flexibility in running styles.

Value Opportunities

The competitive nature of this field creates excellent value opportunities throughout the exotic pools. Yours Sincerely at 5-1 represents solid win value based on her impressive recent performance and route breeding.

Improbable U at 12-1 offers exceptional value given her previous effort behind the top choice and the strong trainer-jockey statistics. The potential for improvement makes her attractive for exotic wagering.

Longshot considerations like Motet and Skatingthroughlife provide opportunities for large exotic payoffs, particularly in trifecta and superfecta pools where their inclusion could create significant returns.

Suggested Selections and Wagering Approach

Win bet: Yours Sincerely represents the most impressive recent form with proven route ability and tactical advantages from her outside post.

Exacta play: Focus on Yours Sincerely over Queen Bay and Improbable U, with the reverse exacta as backup coverage.

Trifecta strategy: Use Yours Sincerely on top with Queen Bay, Improbable U, and La Ville Lumiere in the second and third positions. Include Cara Rose as a potential surprise third.

Value play: Improbable U at 12-1 offers exceptional value based on her previous competitive effort and the strong trainer-jockey combination statistics.

Longshot swing: Include Motet in trifecta and superfecta play as a potential surprise based on her improved turf form.

The Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf Stakes presents an excellent betting race with competitive fillies offering various angles and value opportunities. The combination of proven performers, improving types, and longshot possibilities creates attractive wagering scenarios across all pools.

Race 8: Allowance Optional Claiming – Detailed Analysis

Race 8 presents a competitive $81,000 allowance optional claiming contest over one mile on the dirt track. This first-level allowance race offers $50,030 to the winner and attracts a field of seasoned campaigners looking to establish themselves at this competitive level. Post time is scheduled for approximately 5:35 PM, positioning this race as a key component in the late pick sequence.

The allowance optional claiming structure creates an intriguing dynamic where connections must balance class considerations with claiming vulnerability. The one-mile distance on Del Mar’s main track typically favors horses with tactical versatility who can navigate pace scenarios effectively while maintaining stamina through the stretch.

Key Contenders

Wayne the Brain (Post 1, Morning Line TBD)

Mark Glatt’s charge emerges as a primary contender based on his recent performance and tactical advantages. This son of Mitole returned from an 11-month layoff with a solid second-place finish, showing the kind of improvement typically expected in second starts off extended breaks.

His previous effort demonstrated both promise and room for growth, as he was caught four-wide turning for home when making his move but still finished strongly to be beaten less than a length. The inside post position provides tactical advantages for a horse showing this kind of late-running ability, particularly if he can secure a ground-saving trip.

The 11-month layoff raises fitness questions, but his recent work pattern suggests he has continued to train forward since that encouraging return. Glatt’s skill with older horses returning to form adds another layer of confidence in this spot.

Lyell’s Song (Post 2, Morning Line TBD)

Glatt’s other major weapon represents perhaps the most talented horse in the field, though his recent pattern of near-misses creates both opportunity and concern. This Cairo Prince gelding has looked like the winner in both of his recent starts at Del Mar but failed to close the deal, suggesting either tactical issues or a need for equipment changes.

The addition of blinkers for this start indicates connections believe they have identified the solution to his finishing problems. His breeding suggests he should handle the mile distance effectively, and his tactical speed provides multiple race scenario options.

His recent near-misses create a compelling handicapping angle – horses who consistently finish second or third often break through when minor adjustments are made. The equipment change combined with Glatt’s assessment makes him particularly dangerous.

Clouseau (Post 8, Morning Line TBD)

This five-year-old gelding brings an intriguing angle as he returns to his preferred dirt surface under new connections. Trainer George Papaprodromou claimed him this spring, and his six career dirt victories demonstrate clear surface preference.

His recent turf efforts may have been preparation for this return to dirt racing, and the addition of Umberto Rispoli suggests stable confidence in his chances. The outside post provides tactical flexibility for a horse with proven closing ability on dirt.

The claiming angle adds another dimension, as new connections often unlock improvement when horses return to their optimal conditions. His extensive dirt form creates a solid foundation for handicapping purposes.

Secondary Contenders

Del Mar Jerry (Post TBD, 3-1 ML)

This four-year-old brings solid breeding credentials with a dosage profile that appears well-suited to the one-mile distance. His maturity advantage over younger competitors could prove decisive in a competitive allowance field.

As a son of Mastery, he possesses the stamina influence needed for route racing, and his dosage index of 3.00 with a center of distribution of 0.50 suggests ideal tactical versatility. These breeding angles often translate to effective performance at the allowance level.

Firmus (Post 6, Morning Line TBD)

Listed among the backup selections, this horse brings enough form to warrant consideration in exotic wagering. His recent efforts suggest he belongs at this level, though he appears to need the race to set up favorably to factor.

Pace Analysis

The pace scenario appears moderate for this allowance level, with several horses possessing tactical speed but none showing overwhelming early pace. This setup typically favors horses with tactical versatility who can position effectively early while maintaining stamina through the stretch.

Wayne the Brain’s late-running style should benefit from any early pressure, while Lyell’s Song’s tactical speed allows him to be part of the pace or sit just behind it. The moderate pace projections suggest the race will be won by the horse in the best current form rather than benefiting dramatically from pace dynamics.

Key Angles and Wagering Strategies

The Mark Glatt stable represents the strongest single angle in this race, with both Wayne the Brain and Lyell’s Song offering legitimate winning chances. The trainer’s assessment of having a “strong hand” suggests stable confidence in multiple runners.

Equipment changes provide another key angle, particularly with Lyell’s Song adding blinkers after consecutive near-misses. These modifications often unlock the improvement needed to break through at the allowance level.

The claiming vulnerability creates strategic considerations for connections, potentially affecting tactics and effort levels. However, the competitive purse structure should encourage maximum effort from all participants.

Value Opportunities

Wayne the Brain represents solid value based on his improvement pattern and tactical advantages from the rail post. His second start off the layoff typically produces further advancement, particularly for Glatt-trained horses.

The competitive nature of allowance racing creates opportunities throughout the exotic pools, with multiple horses capable of filling the minor award positions at attractive odds.

Suggested Selections and Wagering Approach

Win bet: Wayne the Brain offers the best combination of improvement potential and tactical advantages from his rail draw.

Exacta play: Focus on Wayne the Brain over Lyell’s Song, with the reverse as backup coverage given both horses’ connection to the strong Glatt stable.

Trifecta strategy: Use Wayne the Brain and Lyell’s Song in the first two positions with Clouseau and Del Mar Jerry filling out the trifecta.

Value consideration: Lyell’s Song represents potential value if the equipment change produces the expected improvement, though his pattern of near-misses creates some concern.

The allowance optional claiming level provides excellent betting opportunities with competitive horses offering various angles for handicapping success. The Glatt stable dominance creates clear focus while maintaining enough depth for profitable exotic wagering scenarios.

Race 9: John C. Mabee Stakes (Grade 2) – Detailed Analysis

The 68th running of the Grade 2 John C. Mabee Stakes presents a $250,000 turf test over nine furlongs for fillies and mares three years old and up. With the rails positioned at zero feet, closers will have a legitimate chance to make their moves, while the $155,000 winner’s share attracts a competitive field of nine accomplished grass runners. Post time is scheduled for approximately 5:38 PM, making this the evening’s featured race.

This prestigious event has historically served as a key prep for the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf, with past winners often advancing to championship-level success. The competitive nature of this year’s renewal suggests multiple fillies possess legitimate chances to capture graded stakes honors.

Key Contenders

Medoro (Post 4, Morning Line 5-2)

Peter Eurton’s consistent daughter of Honor Code emerges as the logical favorite based on her remarkable consistency record – she has never been worse than third in nine career starts. Her most recent effort in the Osunitas Stakes demonstrated her ability to overcome early struggles and pull away decisively in the stretch, showing the kind of late acceleration that translates well to graded stakes success.

The encouraging aspect of her recent victory was her ability to piece together back-to-back solid efforts, suggesting she has found her best form at the right time. Her tactical versatility allows her to sit behind moderate pace scenarios and deliver sustained late kicks that should prove effective over the nine-furlong distance.

Eurton’s assessment indicates she struggled to relax early in recent starts but showed impressive late acceleration when settling into a rhythm. The lack of serious early speed in this field should allow her to find a comfortable forward position without expending excessive energy, positioning her ideally for her preferred late move.

Gimme a Nother (Post 7, Morning Line 3-1)

This Graham Motion-trained filly brings South African breeding that often translates effectively to American turf racing. Her tactical speed provides multiple race scenario options, and her ability to be forwardly placed early while maintaining stamina for sustained efforts makes her particularly dangerous.

Motion’s expertise with grass runners adds another layer of confidence, and her morning line position as second choice suggests respect from handicappers and connections alike. Her breeding suggests she should handle the nine-furlong distance effectively, and her tactical versatility provides options regardless of how the race develops.

The combination of proven class and tactical flexibility makes her a logical contender, particularly if she can secure ideal positioning behind any early pace pressure while maintaining striking position for the stretch drive.

Hang the Moon (Post 9, Morning Line 5-1)

The defending champion returns to the scene of her greatest triumph, having captured this race last year in her only victory on Del Mar’s turf course. Phil D’Amato conditions this daughter of Uncle Mo as she attempts to become the first repeat winner since the race’s modern era.

Her second start off a layoff often produces improvement, and D’Amato’s exceptional record with turf runners during the Del Mar meet adds confidence. The outside post position provides tactical advantages in a race where positioning will prove crucial, allowing her tactical speed to be utilized effectively.

Her familiarity with Del Mar’s unique turf course characteristics could provide subtle advantages, and her previous success at this exact distance and track creates a compelling angle for handicappers seeking horses with course-and-distance success.

Secondary Contenders

Public Assembly (Post 2, Morning Line 6-1)

This filly represents solid value consideration based on expert handicapper support, with multiple analysts highlighting her consistency and tactical advantages. The lack of significant early pace in this race should set up favorably for her running style, allowing her to position effectively without being too far back.

Her consistent performance pattern suggests she belongs at this level, and the moderate pace scenario should play to her strengths. At 6-1 morning line odds, she offers attractive value if the race develops as projected.

Kentucky Gal (Post 6, Morning Line 12-1)

One of four Phil D’Amato entries represents an intriguing value proposition based on pace advantages. The addition of Edwin Maldonado suggests aggressive tactics, and her second start of the current form cycle often produces improvement for D’Amato-trained runners.

Her pace advantages could prove decisive if connections employ aggressive tactics early, potentially stealing the race if the pace remains moderate as projected. At 12-1 morning line odds, she represents solid exotic value.

Longshot Considerations

Mahina (Post 1, Morning Line 12-1)

This honest campaigner consistently delivers competitive efforts but may lack the class necessary to compete with the top fillies in this field. However, her consistency makes her a viable exotic play at attractive odds.

Mission of Joy (Post 3, Morning Line 12-1)

Her recent form suggests she belongs in this competitive company, though she appears to need everything to fall into place to factor against these accomplished runners. The competitive odds make her interesting for deeper exotic play.

Pace Analysis

The pace scenario presents a fascinating dynamic with very little natural early speed in the field. This moderate pace setup typically favors horses with tactical versatility who can position effectively early while maintaining enough stamina for sustained stretch drives.

Phil D’Amato’s four entries create potential for tactical maneuvering, with the trainer likely employing different strategies with multiple runners. The lack of serious pace pressure should allow horses to settle comfortably into their preferred positions without excessive early expenditure.

The moderate pace projections suggest the race will be won by the horse in best current form with optimal positioning, rather than benefiting dramatically from pace collapse scenarios.

Key Angles and Wagering Strategies

The Phil D’Amato stable angle cannot be ignored, with four horses representing nearly half the field and his exceptional success rate with turf runners during the current meet. The trainer’s tactical approach often maximizes opportunities with multiple entries.

Course-and-distance success provides another significant angle, particularly with Hang the Moon attempting to repeat her previous victory in this exact race. Horses with proven success over Del Mar’s unique turf characteristics often possess subtle advantages.

The trainer-jockey combinations create additional handicapping angles, with proven partnerships likely to maximize tactical opportunities in competitive graded stakes company.

Value Opportunities

Public Assembly at 6-1 represents solid value based on expert handicapper support and favorable pace projections. Her consistency and tactical positioning make her attractive at these odds.

Kentucky Gal offers exceptional exotic value at 12-1, particularly if D’Amato employs aggressive early tactics that could steal the race if pace remains moderate. Her second start of the form cycle often produces improvement.

The competitive nature of this field creates opportunities throughout exotic pools, with multiple horses offering legitimate chances at attractive odds.

Suggested Selections and Wagering Approach

Win bet: Medoro represents the most logical choice based on her consistency record and tactical advantages in this pace scenario.

Exacta play: Focus on Medoro over Gimme a Nother and Public Assembly, with reverses providing backup coverage.

Trifecta strategy: Use Medoro and Gimme a Nother in the first two positions, with Public Assembly, Hang the Moon, and Kentucky Gal filling out the bottom spot.

Value play: Public Assembly at 6-1 offers solid value if the moderate pace develops as projected, creating opportunities for her tactical running style.

Exotic consideration: Kentucky Gal at 12-1 represents exceptional value for deeper exotic play, particularly if aggressive early tactics prove effective.

The Grade 2 John C. Mabee Stakes promises competitive racing among accomplished turf specialists, with moderate pace scenarios creating opportunities for tactical development and potential upsets. The combination of proven performers and value opportunities creates excellent wagering scenarios across all pools.

Race 10: California-bred Allowance Optional Claiming

This restricted race for California-breds presents several competitive options. Catmansue enters as the 5-2 morning line favorite and appears well-suited to this spot. Titanic Thompson offers solid competition at 7-2 with local connections that understand Del Mar racing.

The California-bred restriction creates unique handicapping challenges, requiring focus on local form and breeding patterns. The competitive nature of restricted stakes often produces close finishes and attractive exotic payoffs.

Selection: Catmansue to win, Titanic Thompson for exacta play.

Race 11: Turf Mile Allowance Optional Claiming for Fillies and Mares

The closing race features fillies and mares on the turf course. Word Play enters as the 3-1 morning line favorite with European breeding that should translate well to turf racing. Thebestisyettobe offers solid value at 4-1 and represents strong European connections.

The turf surface and allowance conditions create opportunities for several runners to compete effectively. The closing race often provides excellent betting value as the crowd focuses on earlier features.

Selection: Word Play to win, Thebestisyettobe and Transcending for exacta consideration.

Jockey Notes and Insights

Juan Hernandez continues his exceptional partnership with Bob Baffert, riding multiple horses throughout the card including key contenders in stakes races. His tactical skills and understanding of Del Mar’s unique characteristics make him particularly dangerous in competitive spots.

Umberto Rispoli brings European experience that translates well to Del Mar’s turf course. His mounts in turf races deserve extra consideration based on his tactical skills and understanding of grass racing.

Antonio Fresu has shown excellent form during the Del Mar meet and appears particularly effective with horses making tactical moves in the stretch. His mounts often provide value opportunities in competitive fields.

Mike Smith’s presence on Bottle of Rouge in the Debutante Stakes adds another dimension to that competitive race. His experience in big stakes races and understanding of pace dynamics could prove crucial.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Bob Baffert’s dominance during the Del Mar meet continues with multiple runners throughout the card. His two-year-olds deserve particular attention, as his preparation methods often have juveniles ready for peak performances. The trainer’s historical success in the Del Mar Debutante makes his three entries the logical focus in that feature race.

Phil D’Amato has shown excellent form during the meet and appears particularly effective with turf runners. His understanding of Del Mar’s unique turf course characteristics gives his grass runners significant advantages.

Michael McCarthy brings solid form into the weekend and has shown skill with both dirt and turf runners. His tactical approach often produces competitive performances in stakes company.

Richard Mandella’s reputation for having horses ready for peak efforts makes his runners dangerous in any spot. Bourbon and Ginger in the Debutante represents his typical patient approach with talented juveniles.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The multiple stakes races provide excellent opportunities for multi-race wagering sequences. The Pick 6 beginning with Race 6 offers potential for significant returns, particularly with competitive fields in several legs.

Single race focus should center on the Del Mar Debutante, where the Bob Baffert trio creates multiple strategic approaches. Playing exactas and trifectas with different combinations of his three runners could prove profitable.

The large field in the Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf Stakes creates excellent trifecta and superfecta opportunities. Spreading wide with logical contenders while focusing on tactical speed horses could produce attractive payoffs.

Value plays throughout the card should focus on Phil D’Amato trainees, particularly on turf races where his preparation methods have proven effective during the meet. Second and third choices from his stable often provide excellent betting value.

Daily double opportunities exist in several spots, particularly connecting maiden races with stakes events where pace scenarios could create upset possibilities.