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Laurel Park hosts a competitive 10-race card on Friday, January 23, 2026, featuring a solid mix of claiming, maiden, and allowance contests that provide handicappers with numerous wagering opportunities. The card showcases several intriguing storylines, including Jamie Ness seeking his first win of the meet despite consistent placings, Eclipse Award finalist Yedsit Hazlewood leading the rider standings, and a designated Race of the Day in the eighth race allowance event.
The winter meet continues to deliver competitive fields across conditions ranging from low-level claiming to restricted allowances for Maryland-breds. First post time is 12:00 PM EST, with the program concluding at 4:26 PM. Notable carryovers include a $2,530 Jackpot Super High 5 in Race 6, adding extra incentive for vertical wager players.
Track management has addressed multiple scratches from earlier entries, with several horses withdrawn due to veterinary issues and trainer decisions. These late changes create value opportunities for sharp handicappers who adjust their analysis accordingly.
Weather and Track Conditions
Laurel Park will race under cold but dry conditions on Friday afternoon. The forecast calls for a high temperature of 42°F with a morning low of 7°F, creating typical mid-January racing weather for the Mid-Atlantic region. Scattered clouds are expected throughout the afternoon with no precipitation anticipated, ensuring the main dirt track maintains its fast condition.
The absence of moisture is particularly significant given that a winter storm watch has been issued for the area starting Saturday, January 24. Today’s fast track should favor horses with tactical speed who can secure favorable early positions, particularly in sprint races where ground-saving trips become paramount.
Historical data indicates Laurel’s wide racing surface handles cold weather exceptionally well, rarely producing significant track biases during winter months when moisture is absent. The long 1,419-foot homestretch allows closers ample room to mount sustained rallies even on fast surfaces, distinguishing Laurel from narrower Mid-Atlantic facilities.
Track Bias and Post Position Analysis
Laurel Park features one of the widest racing surfaces in North America, which fundamentally impacts race outcomes and betting strategies. Current meet statistics reveal minimal post position bias in sprint races, with outside posts six and seven each producing approximately 16.7% of winners. This balanced distribution reflects the track’s configuration that provides horses in all post positions with viable paths to victory.
Route races present a dramatically different scenario. At distances exceeding one mile, outside posts seven and eight demonstrate a distinct statistical advantage, producing disproportionately high percentages of winners. Conversely, inside posts one and two account for just 18% of route race winners, making them demonstrably disadvantageous in longer contests.
The 1 1/16-mile distance specifically shows a pronounced bias favoring post position one, with data revealing a 16% profit advantage simply based on starting position. This finding directly impacts handicapping for Race 5, which travels precisely this distance. Horses drawn inside should receive additional consideration regardless of other factors.
The track configuration naturally favors closers more than most Mid-Atlantic facilities. Late runners consistently find multiple paths and sufficient room in the extensive stretch to mount effective rallies. The wide turns and long homestretch allow horses from outside posts to secure favorable stalking positions without expending excessive early energy, particularly in route races where trip efficiency becomes crucial.
Race 1 – Starter Optional Claiming
Post Time: 12:00 PM
The opening event presents a competitive field of nine older males eligible for starter optional claiming conditions at seven furlongs. This race type attracts horses with diverse form cycles, creating handicapping complexity but also value opportunities for astute players.
Pace Analysis
The early pace figures to be contested but not destructive. Multiple horses possess early speed credentials, but none profile as determined frontrunners likely to engage in suicidal fractions. The seven-furlong distance typically produces moderate early splits at Laurel, allowing pace-pressing types to remain within striking distance while conserving energy for the stretch drive.
Key Contenders
Aztec emerges as the consensus selection among handicapping experts, installed at a morning line of 5-2. Trainer Jamie Ness maintains a strong historical record with this gelding despite the stable’s winless streak at the current meet. Ness horses continue performing well, evidenced by six runner-up finishes from 10 starters, indicating they’re consistently competitive but haven’t found the winner’s circle.
Aztec’s ability to secure favorable position from his outside draw will prove crucial. Jockey Yedsit Hazlewood, the meet’s leading rider with a 24% win rate, returns to the saddle after guiding this gelding to victory at Parx two starts ago. The jockey-trainer combination inspires confidence despite recent near-misses.
Jolly by Golly represents a legitimate alternative at 5-1 morning line odds. This Hamilton Smith trainee brings consistent form into today’s assignment and should appreciate the return to seven furlongs after stretching out unsuccessfully in recent starts. The gelding’s early speed will help secure position, and the inside post draw allows for ground-saving tactics under Mychel Sanchez, who excels at rating horses on the front end.
B West cannot be dismissed at 9-2 despite carrying just 112 pounds. The significant weight concession reflects recent claiming level drops, but it also provides a tactical advantage in a race where early positioning determines outcomes. Trainer Kieron Magee has shown consistent ability to place horses competitively at this level throughout the meet.
Secondary Choices
Holy Synchronicity merits consideration at 8-1 for trainer Rodolfo Sanchez-Salomon. This gelding’s recent workouts suggest readiness for a forward move, and the mid-pack running style fits the expected pace scenario. Electric Eel represents a deep closer who could benefit if the pace becomes contested, though the moderate early fractions anticipated may not set up his late-running style optimally.
Selections
Win: 9 Aztec
Place: 8 Jolly by Golly
Show: 2 B West
Race 2 – Maiden Claiming
Post Time: 12:28 PM
A field of seven 3-year-olds compete in maiden claiming company at 5 1/2 furlongs, creating opportunities to identify improving youngsters potentially worth following in subsequent starts. This race type often produces significant overlays as public perception lags behind recent form improvements.
Pace Analysis
Early speed figures prominently in sprint maiden races, and this contest follows that pattern. Multiple horses will attempt to secure forward position early, creating the potential for honest fractions that set up late-running types. The relatively short distance means any horse losing position early faces difficult odds recovering ground against fresher rivals.
Key Contenders
Impressiveness stands out as the consensus choice at a morning line of 2-1. This Jamie Ness trainee regained his best form last out at Parx, chasing a gate-to-wire winner and finishing a clear second while earning a 74 Beyer Speed Figure for the third time in six career starts. The addition of Lasix suggests further improvement, as first-time medication often produces positive results.
The colt’s ability to maintain position in the opening quarter-mile will determine success. He prefers short distances where his tactical speed proves most effective, and the 5 1/2-furlong trip fits his profile perfectly. Mychel Sanchez, who rides with a 17% win rate and 67% in-the-money percentage at the meet, handles the assignment.
Vida represents the primary threat at 3-2 morning line odds. This Somraj Singh trainee demonstrates the fastest early speed in the field, evidenced by leading or pressing the pace in 12 career starts while hitting the board 67% of the time. Jockey Xavier Perez specializes in rating speed horses, and his 19% win rate reflects consistent competence even if not spectacular statistics.
The concern with Vida centers on his inability to convert speed into victories. After a dozen attempts without reaching the winner’s circle, questions arise about whether he possesses the necessary courage to finish races. However, the class drop into $16,000 maiden claiming represents his easiest assignment, potentially allowing him to capitalize on natural speed advantages.
Sugar On Fire offers value at 5-1 for trainer Carlos Mancilla. This gelding’s recent form shows improvement, with three consecutive efforts producing Beyer figures in the low-70s. His tactical speed allows him to track the pace without expending excessive energy, positioning him perfectly if the early leaders engage in a speed duel.
Secondary Choices
Rio Del Valle debuts for trainer Jonathan Maldonado at 8-1 morning line odds. First-time starters warrant respect in maiden races, particularly when connections demonstrate confidence by entering in claiming company where the horse could be lost. The presence of Ismerio Villalobos, winning at 10% with a 20% in-the-money rate this meet, suggests competence if not brilliance.
Selections
Win: 3 Impressiveness
Place: 4 Vida
Show: 6 Sugar On Fire
Race 3 – Maiden Claiming
Post Time: 12:57 PM
Eight 3-year-olds compete at the marathon distance of one mile in $25,000 maiden claiming conditions. The extended trip separates true routers from sprinters trying longer distances for the first time, creating distinct advantages for horses demonstrating stamina in previous efforts.
Pace Analysis
The mile distance typically produces moderate early fractions as riders assess their competition and conserve energy for the extended journey. Horses establishing position leaving the backstretch often maintain those positions into the homestretch, making tactical speed more valuable than pure early pace or closing ability at this distance and class level.
Key Contenders
Tiz the Great emerges as the betting favorite at 2-1 morning line odds despite coming up empty as the chalk in his most recent start. The Henry Walters trainee nearly held on when stretching out to 1 1/16 miles two starts back, suggesting the cutback to one mile fits perfectly. His bullet workout three weeks before this engagement demonstrates peak fitness entering today.
Even if Tiz the Great merely repeats the 63 Beyer earned last out, he possesses sufficient ability to win this race. Any sort of rebound effort makes him the horse to beat, particularly with Yedsit Hazlewood handling riding duties. The leading rider’s 24% win rate provides confidence that he’ll secure optimal position and deliver a peak ride.
Bigshot Ness presents intriguing value for Jamie Ness at 4-1 morning line odds despite appearing in multiple entries. The trainer’s consistency this meet, evidenced by 60% in-the-money rate even without victories, suggests his horses arrive fit and ready. Martin Chuan’s 14% win rate and 57% in-the-money percentage reflect solid competence in the saddle.
Our Ham Sandwich rates consideration despite carrying just 113 pounds. The weight concession reflects recent claiming level drops, but trainer Kieron Magee has demonstrated ability to improve horses after claiming them. The gelding’s recent near-misses at Laurel show familiarity with the track, and the cutback in distance after unsuccessful route attempts could trigger improvement.
Secondary Choices
Master Schemer brings consistent closing ability for trainer Linda Albert and jockey Matilda Burnham. This combination demonstrates patience allowing horses to settle early before asking for late efforts. In a race lacking dominant speed, his late-running style may struggle to make up ground, but he represents logical coverage in exacta and trifecta wagers.
Selections
Win: 6 Tiz the Great
Place: 2 Bigshot Ness
Show: 1 Our Ham Sandwich
Race 4 – Starter Optional Claiming
Post Time: 1:26 PM
Eight fillies and mares clash in starter optional claiming conditions at six furlongs. This race type attracts consistent performers who’ve proven their quality by starting for specified claiming prices, creating competitive fields where form analysis becomes paramount.
Pace Analysis
The pace appears moderate with multiple horses possessing tactical speed but no confirmed frontrunners likely to set demanding early fractions. The six-furlong distance at Laurel favors horses securing stalking position, as the turn into the homestretch arrives quickly and horses lacking early foot often find themselves too far back to mount effective rallies.
Key Contenders
On a Proud Note draws expert attention at 7-2 morning line odds for trainer Joanne Shankle. This improving filly demonstrates consistent progression, most recently winning her maiden on December 6 by employing a stalking trip under J.G. Torrealba. The jockey-trainer combination reunites today, and both maintain solid statistics at the current meet.
Shankle has developed reputation for bringing horses to peak fitness, and her training pattern with this filly suggests confidence in a forward move. The cutback to six furlongs after competing at seven furlongs fits her running style, as she’s shown ability to secure position within two lengths of the lead before finishing strongly.
Lady Zeta represents a live alternative for trainer Brittany Russell, Maryland’s leading trainer by wins in 2023 who maintains a 30.65% career win rate at Laurel. Russell excels at placing horses in optimal spots, and this mare’s consistency makes her dangerous in every start. The class level fits her profile perfectly, as she’s demonstrated ability to compete effectively at this condition.
Lady Charlotte brings tactical speed for trainer A. Ferris Allen III, who maintains respectable statistics at the meet. This mare’s gate-to-wire capabilities pose threats if she secures uncontested lead, particularly with Martin Chuan’s patient handling allowing her to relax early while maintaining position.
Secondary Choices
Anotherhope merits respect despite being lightly regarded in morning line odds. Recent form shows improvement, and trainer John Robb maintains consistent approach placing horses where they can compete effectively. The filly’s ability to rate kindly in the opening quarter will determine whether she factors in the outcome.
Selections
Win: 8 On a Proud Note
Place: 4 Lady Zeta
Show: 7 Lady Charlotte
Race 5 – Claiming
Post Time: 1:56 PM
Ten fillies and mares compete in $7,500 claiming conditions at 1 1/16 miles, creating the longest race on the card. This marathon distance demands stamina and tactical awareness, as horses unable to handle the extended trip often falter badly entering the final quarter-mile.
Pace Analysis
Route races at Laurel typically produce honest but sustainable early fractions. The extended distance encourages riders to conserve energy early, allowing pace-pressing types to remain within striking distance without expending excessive resources. The final quarter-mile often separates competitors based on stamina rather than tactical speed.
Key Contenders
Missy Boss stands out as the controlling speed at 4-1 morning line odds. This A. Ferris Allen III trainee demolished similar competition in gate-to-wire victories two and three starts back before stepping up unsuccessfully into starter optional claiming company. The class relief back into straight claiming represents optimal placement, allowing her natural speed advantages to dominate.
Despite drawing post position 10 in the far outside, her tactical speed allows her to cross over and secure the lead without excessive effort. Even from a difficult starting position, she profiles as the horse most likely to dictate terms throughout, and rivals must catch her late if they hope to prevail. Her ability to rate kindly while on the lead separates her from pace-pressing types who burn out chasing demanding fractions.
Divine Grace presents legitimate value for Jamie Ness at 5-2 morning line odds. Despite the trainer’s winless streak this meet, his horses continue performing admirably with 60% hitting the board. This mare fits that pattern, consistently placing without finding the winner’s circle. The distance suits her closing style, as the long stretch provides ample room to mount sustained rallies.
Martin Chuan rides with 14% win rate and 57% in-the-money percentage, reflecting solid competence handling route horses. His patient style allows Divine Grace to settle comfortably early before asking for her best effort in the homestretch. If the pace becomes contested, her closing kick becomes increasingly dangerous.
Princess Lucia offers value at 9-2 for trainer Hugh McMahon. This mare defeated conditioned claiming foes two starts back following a six-month absence, demonstrating ability to fire fresh. The subsequent effort against Maryland-restricted allowance competition proved too ambitious, but today’s class relief back into $7,500 claiming provides realistic opportunity to return to winning ways.
Secondary Choices
By the Glass represents a stable companion to the top selection, trained by Michael Gorham and rated as a BRIS spot play. The trainer’s ability to place stablemates effectively creates exacta and trifecta opportunities for bettors willing to use both entries. Mainstream Sellout brings closing ability, though her tendency to need ground-saving trips may prove challenging from an outside post position.
Longshots
Lachicafortequila offers intriguing longshot value at 20-1 for handicappers seeking bombers in exotic wagers. Despite limited recent success, the mare’s running style could benefit from an honest pace allowing her to pick up exhausted rivals late. The extended distance suits her stamina-oriented profile, and upset-minded players should include her in multi-race wagers.
Betting Strategy
The race presents excellent opportunities for vertical wagers, particularly exactas keying Missy Boss on top over Divine Grace and Princess Lucia. The presence of 10 horses creates potential for lucrative payoffs if the favorite falters, making the race ideal for Pick 3 and Pick 4 sequences beginning here.
Post position one’s statistical advantage at this distance cannot be ignored. While Honor the Truth lacks impressive recent form, her inside draw provides inherent advantage worth considering in deeper exotic bets where longshots often surprise.
Selections
Win: 10 Missy Boss
Place: 9 Divine Grace
Show: 8 Princess Lucia
Race 6 – Claiming
Post Time: 2:26 PM
A massive field of 14 fillies and mares creates chaos in $12,500 claiming conditions at six furlongs. The large field size and competitive class level combine to produce unpredictable outcomes, making this race ideal for vertical wagers where longshots often emerge victorious.
Pace Analysis
With 14 horses competing at six furlongs, the pace scenario becomes complex and potentially contentious. Multiple speed horses will vie for early position, likely producing honest fractions that set up closers. The wide racing surface provides sufficient room for horses to avoid traffic issues, but riders must demonstrate patience and tactical awareness navigating such a large field.
Key Contenders
Chickin Lickin rates as the morning line favorite at 7-2 despite stepping down in class. This W. Robert Bailes trainee competed at higher levels recently, and the class relief suggests connections believe she’s ready to return to winning ways. Her tactical speed allows her to secure favorable position without engaging in destructive early pace battles.
The trainer maintains impressive 23% win rate with 68% in-the-money percentage at Laurel, demonstrating consistent ability to place horses optimally. Carlos Eduardo Lopez handles riding duties, and his 19% win rate reflects solid competence even if not spectacular brilliance. The combination inspires confidence that the mare receives every opportunity to perform at her best.
Worries Unfounded presents legitimate value at 5-1 for trainer Emanuel Geralis. This mare broke through with a gate-to-wire maiden victory last out, opening up a long early lead and dominating throughout. The victory came on December 21, providing minimal time between starts but suggesting peak current form.
Forest Boyce returns to ride after guiding the mare to that maiden score, and their established partnership creates additional confidence. The challenge becomes securing the lead from post position 12 in such a large field, but her demonstrated tactical speed suggests she can work her way into contention despite the wide starting position.
Buckin Right brings consistency at this level for trainer Rodolfo Sanchez-Salomon. This filly’s recent form shows improvement, and she’s demonstrated ability to compete effectively in similar company. The inside post draw provides tactical advantage, allowing her to save ground throughout while avoiding traffic issues that often plague horses starting wide in large fields.
Secondary Choices
Ariel Moon deserves consideration for trainer Michael Trombetta despite being lightly regarded in the morning line. Trombetta maintains strong statistics at Laurel, and his horses often outperform expectations when properly placed. The mare’s ability to close from off the pace could prove valuable if the expected pace scenario develops, as multiple horses engaging early will create exhausted rivals for her to pass late.
Ready for Magic brings tactical speed for trainer Somraj Singh at 8-1 morning line odds. This filly’s recent workouts suggest fitness, and Singh demonstrated training skill when saddling Mister Agent to victory in his career debut earlier this season. The trainer’s ability to develop young horses extends to older females, making this mare worth including in exotic wagers.
Longshots
The large field creates opportunities for skilled handicappers to construct lucrative Pick 3, Pick 4, and Pick 5 tickets. Several horses at double-digit odds possess capabilities to hit the board if circumstances unfold favorably. Map to the Moon, A P M Notion, and Sweet Honey Bee all offer extreme longshot value for players seeking generous payoffs in exotic bets.
Betting Strategy
The $2,530 Jackpot Super High 5 carryover makes this race particularly attractive for vertical wagers. Players should construct tickets using multiple horses across the top four positions, as the large field and competitive class level suggest no horse possesses dominant advantages. Spreading tickets wisely balances coverage with cost management, maximizing return-on-investment potential.
Selections
Win: 3 Chickin Lickin
Place: 12 Worries Unfounded
Show: 6 Buckin Right
Race 7 – Starter Optional Claiming
Post Time: 2:56 PM
Ten older males compete in starter optional claiming conditions at seven furlongs, creating one of the most predictable races on the card. The presence of a dominant favorite simplifies handicapping but reduces potential payoffs, making this race ideal for single usage in multi-race wagers.
Pace Analysis
The pace figures to be moderate with Freeze the Fire likely securing uncontested lead. His tactical speed combined with proven ability to rate kindly on the front end creates ideal scenario for front-running victory. Rivals must decide whether to engage him early at risk of burning out, or allow him comfortable margins while hoping he falters late.
Key Contenders
Freeze the Fire dominates the morning line at 3-2, installed as the prohibitive favorite. Trainer John Salzman Jr. brings this gelding back in optimal placement after consistent success at this condition. The horse’s ability to control pace while rating kindly on the lead makes him extremely difficult to defeat, particularly against rivals lacking similar tactical speed.
The gelding’s recent form demonstrates peak fitness, and J.G. Torrealba’s riding style perfectly suits a horse with natural pace advantages. Torrealba maintains 9% win rate this meet, modest statistics that belie his effectiveness when aboard superior horses properly placed. Today represents such an occasion, as the gelding possesses clear class advantages over most rivals.
Kerness K offers value at 4-1 despite facing difficult assignment. This gelding won three consecutive races entering today, demonstrating consistency and improving form. Trainer Brittany Russell excels with horses returning from layoffs, posting 25% win rate with such runners. While he lacks the tactical speed to engage Freeze the Fire early, his ability to stalk and pounce late creates threats if the favorite tires.
Russell’s overall statistics, including leading Maryland trainers by wins in 2023, inspire confidence. Her ability to place horses optimally means Kerness K receives every advantage possible, even if those advantages may not overcome the favorite’s superiority.
Mister Lincoln presents alternative for Jamie Ness at 9-2 morning line odds. This gelding ran respectable third in his last start at Laurel, demonstrating comfort with the track. However, he’s known for inconsistency, occasionally producing clunkers without warning. At his best he can earn mid-80s Beyer figures and grab a share of the purse, but handicappers must accept the risk of poor performance.
Secondary Choices
Total Sensation brings closing ability from post position eight, which could prove valuable if the pace becomes contested. However, the moderate early fractions anticipated may not set up his late-running style optimally. Sheriff Ronnie and Captain Quint complete the secondary contenders, both possessing capabilities to hit the board if circumstances unfold favorably.
Betting Strategy
This race presents limited betting opportunities given the heavy favorite’s dominance. Handicappers should consider using Freeze the Fire as a single in Pick 3, Pick 4, and Pick 5 wagers, saving money for spreading in more contentious races. Alternative strategies involve wheeling longer-priced horses underneath the favorite in exactas and trifectas, hoping for generous payoffs if secondary selections outperform expectations.
Selections
Win: 2 Freeze the Fire
Place: 9 Kerness K
Show: 3 Mister Lincoln
Race 8 – Allowance
Post Time: 3:26 PM
The designated Race of the Day features 11 older males competing in allowance conditions at one mile. This competitive field includes several horses demonstrating recent improvement, creating handicapping complexity and wagering opportunities. The race profiles as the most intriguing event on the card, with legitimate win candidates offering generous morning line odds.
Pace Analysis
Handicapping experts anticipate strong early pace with multiple horses possessing tactical speed. The contested opening quarter could prove pivotal, as horses expending excessive energy early may fade late, allowing patient stalkers and closers to prevail. The one-mile distance provides sufficient time for pace scenario to develop and separate contenders from pretenders.
Key Contenders
Lonesome Road emerges as the most intriguing contender at 4-1 morning line odds. Following two modest turf attempts and gelding surgery, this Michael Trombetta trainee made spectacular dirt debut on Boxing Day. After sharp break, he stalked the pace before taking over on the far turn and drawing away to an emphatic 8 1/2-length victory, earning a massive 93 Beyer figure while barely being asked.
The performance generated national attention for good reason. His running style, ability to stalk moderate fractions before accelerating powerfully, fits perfectly with anticipated pace scenario. Both workouts since that victory produced bullet times, and Trombetta demonstrated confidence by dropping him into this competitive spot rather than waiting for easier assignment.
The concern centers on whether he can reproduce such dominant effort against better competition. However, the Beyer figure suggests room for regression while remaining competitive. Even if he runs back to mid-80s figure, he possesses sufficient ability to defeat this field. The challenge comes from drawing unfavorable post position and facing experienced rivals who won’t allow him uncontested run.
Group Ticket rates serious consideration at 3.5-1 for Jamie Ness. Despite trainer’s winless streak this meet, the stable’s consistent placings suggest horses arrive fit. This gelding’s recent form shows improvement, and the mile distance suits his tactical speed perfectly. The horse’s ability to secure position stalking the pace creates ideal setup, particularly if the anticipated contested opening quarter materializes.
Spring Decision offers value at 6-1 for Niall Saville. This gelding broke his maiden on October 18, giving Saville his 100th career victory. The trainer’s milestone achievement demonstrates consistent ability to develop horses, and this gelding continues progressing. Matilda Burnham handles riding duties, and their established partnership creates confidence they’ll secure optimal trip.
Secondary Choices
Davyjonz brings consistency for trainer Robin Graham. This gelding’s recent form shows competitive efforts, and Forest Boyce’s patient riding style suits his running preferences. The concern becomes whether he possesses sufficient class to defeat improving rivals, but his experience at this level makes him legitimate threat for minor awards.
Tony Eclipse represents another logical contender for trainer Brittany Russell. The Maryland trainer’s 30.65% career win rate at Laurel reflects consistent competence placing horses optimally. This colt’s tactical speed allows him to secure favorable position, and Russell’s ability to have horses peak at proper moments cannot be dismissed.
Longshots
Crab Daddy offers extreme value at 20-1 for handicappers constructing deeper exotic tickets. This gelding rallied well and narrowly missed at this level two starts ago when sprinting six furlongs. The stretch-out to one mile proved unsuccessful last out, but the cutback from that longer trip could trigger improvement.
Betting Strategy
The race demands respect in all vertical wagers given its designation as Race of the Day and the presence of multiple legitimate contenders. Handicappers should spread tickets wisely, using multiple horses on top while keying stronger opinions in the place and show positions. The competitive nature and generous morning line odds create potential for substantial payoffs, making this ideal race for Pick 3 and Pick 4 sequences.
Selections
Win: 4 Lonesome Road
Place: 10 Spring Decision
Show: 11 Group Ticket
Race 9 – Allowance
Post Time: 3:56 PM
Eight older males compete in restricted Maryland-bred or Maryland-sired allowance conditions at six furlongs. This race type attracts quality state-bred horses demonstrating ability to compete at allowance level, creating competitive fields where local knowledge proves valuable.
Pace Analysis
The pace appears moderate with multiple horses possessing tactical speed. The six-furlong distance leaves minimal time for positioning, making the opening quarter crucial to success. Horses securing favorable position early while conserving energy enjoy significant advantages over rivals starting wide or losing ground leaving the gate.
Key Contenders
Guaponess dominates the morning line at 2-1 as Jamie Ness seeks to break his winless drought at the meet. This homebred gelding’s consistent form includes victories against similar competition, and the trainer wrapped up a natural training hat trick on November 24 when this gelding scored. The six-furlong distance suits his tactical speed perfectly, as he’s demonstrated ability to press pace before finishing strongly.
Mychel Sanchez handles riding duties, and his 24% win rate at Laurel combined with 52% in-the-money percentage reflects consistent competence. The jockey-trainer combination creates confidence that the gelding receives optimal handling throughout, maximizing his chances of reaching the winner’s circle.
Paco the Taco Man represents legitimate threat at 7-2 for trainer Annette Eubanks. This gelding’s recent form shows strong efforts, including runner-up finishes in his last two starts. His running style, pressing pace before engaging leaders in the stretch, creates dangerous closing kick particularly if the early pace becomes contested.
The concern centers on whether he possesses sufficient early speed to secure favorable position from his post draw. However, Jevian Toledo’s 16% win rate and 49% in-the-money percentage reflects solid tactical awareness positioning horses effectively. If he rates the gelding properly early, Paco the Taco Man becomes extremely dangerous late.
Fear Nothing offers value at 6-1 despite starting from an inside draw. This gelding’s running style demonstrates fastest early speed in the field, and he won two and three starts back when closer to the pace. His recent third-place finish came after closing strongly on the inside, missing by just half-length. The inside post position provides ground-saving advantage throughout, and his tactical speed allows him to secure position without excessive energy expenditure.
Secondary Choices
Wickeddivine brings consistent form for trainer Kenneth Cox at 5-1 morning line odds. This gelding finished fourth behind several of today’s rivals in recent start, demonstrating ability to compete at this level. His speed figures suggest capability to improve, particularly if the pace scenario unfolds favorably for stalkers.
Great Heavens completes the logical contenders with closing ability that could prove valuable. Forest Boyce’s patient riding style allows horses to settle comfortably before asking for maximum effort late. In a race where the pace may become contested, his late kick offers threats to exhausted pace-pressing rivals.
Betting Strategy
The race presents excellent opportunities for Pick 3 and Pick 4 wagers, as the presence of several legitimate contenders at generous odds creates potential for substantial payoffs. Handicappers should construct tickets using Guaponess as the base while spreading to cover Paco the Taco Man and Fear Nothing in secondary positions.
Selections
Win: 1 Guaponess
Place: 7 Paco the Taco Man
Show: 6 Fear Nothing
Race 10 – Claiming
Post Time: 4:26 PM
Eight older males close the card in $12,500 claiming conditions at 5 1/2 furlongs. The sprint distance and competitive claiming level create wide-open race where form analysis and jockey competence determine outcomes.
Pace Analysis
The short distance demands early positioning, as horses losing ground from the gate rarely recover successfully. Multiple horses possess tactical speed capable of securing forward position, likely producing honest fractions that separate speed horses from closers. The final furlong often determines winner, as exhausted pace-pressers surrender to fresher rivals finishing strongly.
Key Contenders
Rapidity stands as the morning line favorite at 5-2 for trainer Joanne Shankle. This consistent mare’s recent form shows competitive efforts, including fifth-place finish in her last start at this level. The cutback in distance after competing at six furlongs fits her tactical speed profile, as she’s demonstrated ability to press pace without burning out.
Tais Lyapustina handles riding duties, and her impressive 40% win rate this meet combined with 80% in-the-money percentage reflects exceptional competence. When paired with quality horses properly placed, she demonstrates ability to secure optimal trips and deliver peak performances. The jockey-trainer combination creates confidence that Rapidity receives every advantage possible.
Lou’s Birthday offers value at 4-1 for trainer Daniel McKenzie. This gelding’s recent form shows improvement, and he’s hit the board 41% of career starts while winning 11%. His consistent ability to compete at this level makes him dangerous opponent, particularly with Jeiron Barbosa handling riding duties. The jockey’s 15% win rate reflects solid competence, and his 35% in-the-money percentage demonstrates ability to consistently guide horses into payoff positions.
Candycrumbs presents alternative for trainer Jonathan Maldonado at 9-2 morning line odds. This gelding brings tactical speed and demonstrated ability to compete at this claiming level. Ismerio Villalobos rides with 22% win rate and 61% in-the-money percentage this meet, exceptional statistics that inspire confidence. The jockey-trainer combination creates potential for upset if circumstances unfold favorably.
Secondary Choices
Docsgotallthecandy deserves consideration despite longer odds for trainer Sarah White. This gelding finished respectable third in his first start following seven-month layoff, demonstrating readiness. He won his two races before going to the sidelines, both times lasting through early pace pressure. The sprint distance suits his running style, and the additional conditioning from that recent effort should have him primed for forward move.
Paralegal and City Panda complete the logical contenders. Both possess capabilities to hit the board if pace scenario unfolds favorably, making them worthy of inclusion in deeper exotic wagers where longshots often surprise.
Betting Strategy
The finale presents opportunities for players seeking to close profitable afternoons with generous payoffs. The competitive claiming level and short sprint distance create uncertainty, making this race ideal for spreading tickets across multiple horses in exactas and trifectas. Handicappers should resist the temptation to key the favorite too heavily, as the claiming ranks produce upsets regularly.
Selections
Win: 8 Rapidity
Place: 5 Lou’s Birthday
Show: 3 Candycrumbs
Jockey Notes and Insights
Yedsit Hazlewood leads all riders at the current meet with 17 starts producing 4 wins for a 24% success rate and 59% in-the-money percentage. The Eclipse Award finalist jumped out to a quick opening weekend start, riding all 10 races on opening day and seven more on Saturday while winning four times. His aggressive booking approach and consistent competence make him the meet’s dominant rider.
Hazlewood benefits from mentorship by trainer Jose Corrales, a former jockey who transitioned to training and specializes in developing young riders. Corrales predicted Hazlewood could become “one of the Ortiz brothers,” referencing champion jockeys Irad and Jose Ortiz. The apprentice’s ability to rate horses while demonstrating patience in traffic validates that confidence.
Despite losing his bug (apprentice weight allowance) midway through 2025, Hazlewood maintained momentum by recording 95 wins at Laurel Park and Pimlico Race Course. The transition from apprentice to journeyman often challenges young riders, but his statistics demonstrate sustained success earning him the Eclipse Award nomination.
Mychel Sanchez enters today’s card with 6 starts producing 1 win (17%) and 67% in-the-money percentage. While those meet statistics appear modest, his overall career demonstrates exceptional consistency. Sanchez recorded 303 wins in 2025, maintaining a three-year run of 212, 273, and 303 victories that reflects remarkable consistency.
The veteran jockey specializes in rating speed horses, particularly those requiring patient handling early before asking for maximum effort late. His ability to connect with horses mentally, sensing their breathing patterns and energy levels, separates him from riders who rely solely on physical urging. Trainers value this skill, particularly with horses requiring confident handling.
Tais Lyapustina has produced spectacular results from limited opportunities, winning 2 of 5 starts (40%) with 80% in-the-money rate. Her small sample size reflects selective booking rather than lack of opportunities, as trainers request her services specifically for horses matching her riding style. She excels with tactical speed horses requiring early positioning without excessive energy expenditure.
Forest Boyce reached the 1,000-career-win milestone on January 31, 2024, earning that victory aboard Determined Driver at Laurel. The Baltimore native’s career spans two decades, highlighted by Eclipse Award runner-up finish as champion apprentice in 2010 when she won 129 races. Her seven Maryland Million victories tie for ninth-most in event history, demonstrating big-race competence.
Boyce’s patient riding style suits horses requiring time to establish rhythm before asking for late efforts. Trainers value her tactical awareness, particularly in route races where trip efficiency determines outcomes. Her familiarity with Laurel’s wide track allows her to position horses expertly, avoiding traffic issues that plague less experienced riders.
J.G. Torrealba maintains modest 9% win rate this meet from 11 starts, but his 27% in-the-money percentage demonstrates consistent competence. The veteran jockey excels when paired with superior horses properly placed, understanding that his role centers on avoiding mistakes rather than manufacturing brilliant efforts. Trainers trust him aboard favorites, confident he won’t cost horses victories through poor judgment.
Trainer Notes and Insights
Jamie Ness enters today’s card seeking his first victory of the meet despite saddling 10 starters that produced 6 runner-up finishes. The 60% in-the-money rate without victories reflects consistent competence placing horses correctly, though racing luck has prevented winner’s circle visits. Ness finished 2025 as the nation’s leading trainer by wins, recording over 300 victories while maintaining 26% success rate.
The trainer’s remarkable consistency stems from systematic approach emphasizing conditioning over quick results. He maintains approximately 140 horses in training across Parx Racing, Delaware Park, and Laurel Park, creating depth that allows him to place horses optimally. His career statistics reflect 25% win rate with 58% in-the-money percentage across nearly 20,000 starts.
Ness serves a seven-day suspension beginning December 31 for controlled medication violation, though that punishment concluded before the current meet commenced. The brief setback barely interrupted his dominant year, as he surpassed Steve Asmussen for most wins nationally by maintaining superior winning percentage (26% versus 14%).
Jose Corrales opened the meet with 3 wins from 9 starters during opening weekend, demonstrating his pattern of consistent success. The former jockey transitioned to training and specializes in developing young riders, most notably mentoring Yedsit Hazlewood from 0-for-12 start to Eclipse Award finalist. His hands-on approach and ability to improve riders parallels his skill developing horses.
Corrales maintains systematic training methods emphasizing gradual conditioning and patient development. He claims horses at bottom levels and improves them through consistent handling, often transforming castoffs into competitive allowance runners. His willingness to mentor troubled riders and provide second chances reflects commitment to developing talent others overlook.
Brittany Russell made Maryland racing history by becoming the first woman to lead annual trainer standings in 2023. She ranked 16th nationally in purse earnings ($7,996,867) and 11th in wins that season, demonstrating ability to compete at highest levels. Russell repeated as Maryland’s leading trainer, cementing her position atop regional standings.
The trainer’s specialty involves horses returning from layoffs, posting impressive statistics with such runners. Her systematic conditioning program gradually increases workload, ensuring horses arrive fit without being overtrained. She maintains one of Maryland’s largest stables, allowing her to place horses optimally across claiming, allowance, and stakes conditions.
Russell’s 30.65% career win rate at Laurel reflects sustained excellence over multiple seasons. Training on the Mid-Atlantic circuit, she wins at 27% rate while maintaining consistency that sees horses hit the board regularly. Her ability to develop stakes performers from modest claiming ranks demonstrates exceptional horsemanship and talent evaluation.
Michael Trombetta trains Lonesome Road, who impressed with 93 Beyer figure in dirt debut. The trainer’s decision to switch the gelding from turf to dirt following gelding surgery produced spectacular results, as the horse destroyed maiden special weight competition by 8 1/2 lengths. Both subsequent workouts earned bullet times, suggesting the gelding maintains peak form.
Trombetta earned Hall of Fame consideration through sustained success developing horses gradually rather than rushing them. His patient approach allows horses to mature physically and mentally before asking for maximum efforts. The trainer excels identifying surface preferences, as demonstrated by Lonesome Road’s transformation from turf maiden to dirt destroyer.
Annette Eubanks trains Paco the Taco Man, who brings consistent form into today’s restricted allowance. The mare’s recent performances show competitive efforts against similar rivals, and Eubanks demonstrates skill placing horses optimally. Her small stable allows individualized attention, ensuring each horse receives proper conditioning and placement.
Joanne Shankle maintains consistent stable operation focusing on claiming and allowance horses. Her training pattern emphasizes gradual development, allowing horses to find appropriate levels before asking for maximum efforts. She saddled On a Proud Note to maiden victory on December 6, and the filly’s progression suggests continued improvement.
Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays
The Laurel Park card presents numerous wagering opportunities for handicappers willing to construct logical multi-race sequences. The combination of competitive claiming races, maiden events featuring improving horses, and allowance contests with generous odds creates potential for substantial returns on investment.
Early Pick 5 (Races 1-5) deserves serious consideration given the presence of logical favorites in the first three races combined with competitive fields in Races 4 and 5. Handicappers should construct tickets using Aztec and Impressiveness as singles or key horses, spreading wider in the maiden claiming route (Race 3) before using multiple horses in Races 4 and 5. The modest investment required for such tickets creates excellent risk-reward ratios.
Late Pick 5 (Races 6-10) offers more challenging but potentially lucrative opportunities. Race 6’s 14-horse field demands spreading tickets across multiple contenders, while Race 7’s dominant favorite allows single usage. Race 8’s competitive allowance requires coverage of several horses, making it the sequence’s most difficult leg. Spreading wisely while managing costs separates successful players from those constructing unwieldy, expensive tickets.
Pick 4 sequences beginning in Race 7 present optimal value for players seeking manageable ticket costs while maintaining coverage. Using Freeze the Fire as a single in Race 7 saves substantial money that can be allocated toward spreading in the competitive Race 8 allowance. This strategy balances single usage of logical favorites against spreading in contentious races, maximizing return potential while controlling costs.
The $2,530 Jackpot Super High 5 carryover in Race 6 creates mandatory betting opportunities. The 14-horse field and competitive claiming level suggest no dominant favorite, making this race ideal for vertical wager coverage. Handicappers should construct tickets using the top three logical contenders across the first four finishing positions, ensuring reasonable ticket costs while maintaining coverage of likely outcomes.
Exacta and trifecta opportunities abound in races featuring competitive fields with generous odds. Race 8’s allowance conditions and Race 9’s restricted allowance present ideal scenarios for boxing multiple horses or constructing part-wheels keying logical favorites over longer-priced alternatives. The presence of several horses offering value odds creates potential for payoffs substantially exceeding straightforward win bets.
Race 2’s maiden claiming event offers value opportunities for players willing to oppose the favorite. Impressiveness deserves respect as the consensus selection, but his 0-for-10 career record creates questions about ability to finish races successfully. Boxing him with Vida and Sugar On Fire in exactas and trifectas provides coverage if the favorite falters while capitalizing on generous odds should Impressiveness prevail.
Race 5’s marathon route demands respect in all vertical wagers given post position one’s statistical advantages at 1 1/16 miles. While Honor the Truth lacks impressive recent form, her inside draw provides inherent edge worth considering in deeper exotic wagers. Including her at generous odds in trifectas and superfectas creates potential for lucrative payoffs if the bias manifests today.
Daily Double opportunities exist in several race combinations, particularly Races 7-8 where the heavy favorite in Race 7 allows single usage while spreading in the competitive Race 8 allowance. This strategy creates manageable ticket costs while maintaining coverage of multiple legitimate contenders in the designated Race of the Day.
Rolling Pick 3 sequences throughout the card provide continuous action while managing bankroll effectively. Players should identify races offering logical favorites warranting single usage (Races 2, 7) while spreading wider in contentious events (Races 6, 8, 9). This balanced approach creates multiple opportunities for cashing tickets while avoiding excessive investment in any single wager.
Value plays exist throughout the card for players willing to construct logical tickets emphasizing horses offering generous odds relative to winning probabilities. Lonesome Road in Race 8, Fear Nothing in Race 9, and Candycrumbs in Race 10 all provide morning line odds exceeding their actual chances of victory. Including these horses in vertical wagers creates asymmetric risk-reward scenarios favoring skilled handicappers.
The final four races (7-10) present optimal Pick 4 opportunity given the presence of a logical single in Race 7 combined with competitive fields in subsequent races. Using Freeze the Fire as anchor allows ticket construction spreading across multiple horses in Races 8, 9, and 10 while maintaining reasonable costs. The potential payoff justifies investment, particularly if longshots emerge in the final two races.
Cross-race exotic wagers including Pick 6 coverage should begin in Race 5 for players willing to invest substantially seeking massive payoffs. The marathon distance creates opportunity for upsets, and subsequent competitive races through the finale provide numerous ways tickets remain alive. While requiring significant investment, the potential returns justify costs for adequately bankrolled players seeking tournament-style scores.
Single-race exotic wagers, particularly trifectas and superfectas in the 14-horse sixth race, offer value for players comfortable with race shape analysis. The large field creates numerous combinations, allowing skilled handicappers to construct tickets emphasizing logical contenders while including longshots in superfecta positions where upsets often occur. The $2,530 Super High 5 carryover adds incentive for aggressive wagering in this race.
Conservative players should focus on races offering logical favorites warranting straight win bets. Freeze the Fire in Race 7 and Guaponess in Race 9 both offer realistic winning chances at odds exceeding their actual probabilities of success. While payoffs may appear modest, consistent profits accumulate from identifying and betting horses offering value regardless of odds.
The track’s configuration favoring closers in route races creates strategic advantages for handicappers emphasizing late-running horses in distances exceeding one mile. Race 5’s marathon trip and Race 8’s one-mile allowance both profile for closers capitalizing on contested early paces. Constructing exotic wagers emphasizing such runners creates edges over public bettors overvaluing tactical speed.
Post position advantages, particularly in route races where outside draws demonstrate statistical superiority, warrant adjustment of win probabilities. While inside posts create disadvantages in routes, the specific bias at 1 1/16 miles actually favors post one, creating contrarian value opportunities. Sharp handicappers incorporating these nuances into analysis gain measurable edges over casual bettors ignoring positional advantages.
Trainer and jockey statistics provide crucial context for evaluating win probabilities. Brittany Russell’s 30.65% win rate and Yedsit Hazlewood’s 24% success rate this meet both suggest their horses deserve additional respect regardless of morning line odds. Conversely, Jamie Ness’s winless streak despite 60% in-the-money rate creates value opportunities opposing his horses in exactas and trifectas while using them in minor positions.
Weather conditions, specifically the cold but dry forecast producing fast track, favor tactical speed horses capable of securing position without excessive energy expenditure. Horses demonstrating early speed in recent starts deserve additional consideration, particularly in sprint races where track configuration minimizes closing opportunities. Adjusting analysis based on conditions separates sophisticated handicappers from casual players ignoring environmental factors.
The combination of competitive fields, generous odds on legitimate contenders, and track biases favoring specific running styles creates optimal environment for skilled handicappers. Players emphasizing systematic analysis, proper bankroll management, and disciplined wagering strategies should find numerous opportunities for profitable afternoon. The key lies in identifying value, constructing logical tickets, and avoiding temptation to overbet marginal situations regardless of potential payoffs.
