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Welcome to Will Rogers Downs for a Tuesday afternoon card featuring nine races. The action kicks off at 1:15 PM CST with a mix of claiming and maiden special weight contests. The card is highlighted by several competitive sprints and a route race to open the day. We have a solid group of Oklahoma-breds on display today, particularly in the 2nd, 4th, and 6th races. The claiming ranks are well-represented, offering some potential value plays for the astute handicapper.
Weather and Track Conditions
The weather in Claremore for today, February 10, is forecasted to be cloudy with a high near 68°F and a low around 39°F. There is a slight 10% chance of rain, but conditions should remain relatively dry during race hours. Winds will be out of the northwest at approximately 16 mph, which could be a factor in the stretch run, potentially providing a headwind or tailwind depending on the race distance and configuration.
The track surface is expected to be Fast. Will Rogers Downs typically features a dirt surface that can favor speed, especially in sprint races. The inside post positions often hold an advantage, particularly at the 6-furlong distance where the run to the turn is short. However, with the potential wind, keep an eye on how the track is playing early in the card. If the rail is dead, look for horses breaking from middle posts who can stalk and pounce.
Jockey Notes and Insights
Top riders to watch today include Leandro Goncalves and Floyd Wethey Jr., both of whom have strong books. Goncalves is aboard several live mounts, including Endless Skyway in the 4th and Runaround Rowdy in the 2nd. His ability to get horses out of the gate quickly makes him dangerous in these sprints. Belen Quinonez teams up with trainer Scott Young multiple times today, a combination that has historically been lethal at this track. Watch for them in the 1st with Cat Tale Sky and the 3rd with Girls Knicks Now.
Trainer Notes and Insights
Trainer Scott Young has a busy day with contenders in multiple races. His barn typically fires early in the meet and excels with maiden claimers and sprinters. Pay close attention to his first-time starters and horses dropping in class. Francisco Bravo and Steve Williams also have key runners today. Bravo sends out Endless Skyway in the 4th, a horse that looks like a standout on paper. In the claiming ranks, M. Brent Davidson has several entries that fit well, including Mamashavnahotflash in the 8th.
Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays
The best betting opportunities today appear to be in the Pick 4 sequences. The early Pick 4 starting in Race 1 offers a chance to single a likely winner in Race 4 (Endless Skyway) and spread in the more open legs.
Value can be found in Race 3 with Cashout Carol, who may get overlooked in the betting but has solid numbers. In Race 7, Speight and Malice offers a strong class edge but might offer playable odds if the public gravitates toward Great Runner.
For exotic wagers, focus on keying the speed horses in the sprints while using closers underneath in the exactas and trifectas, as the pace scenarios today suggest several races could fall apart late if the early fractions are too hot.
1st Race – Claiming – 1 Mile Dirt
Post Time
01:15 PM CST
Pace Analysis
In this one-mile route, the pace should be moderate. Janes Girls may try to clear from the outside, but Cat Tale Sky has enough tactical speed from the rail to hold position. One Eye Super Fly could also show early interest. Expect a contested lead into the first turn, settling down the backstretch.
Key Contenders
Cat Tale Sky (1) is the morning line favorite and for good reason. Drawn the rail with Belen Quinonez aboard for Scott Young, this mare should be able to save ground and make a decisive move on the far turn. She fits well at this class level. Janes Girls (4) drops in to a competitive spot. She has the speed to be involved early and if she can control the fractions, she could be tough to catch.
Secondary Choices
Fella’s Sister (3) is another Scott Young trainee who adds depth to the field. She may sit just off the pace and look to pick up the pieces if the leaders falter. Whiskey Drinker (5) will likely be coming from off the pace and could factor into the exotics if the pace heats up.
Selections
Win: Cat Tale Sky (1) – 45% confidence Place: Janes Girls (4) – 30% confidence Show: Fella’s Sister (3) – 15% confidence Alternative: Whiskey Drinker (5) – 10% confidence
2nd Race – Maiden Special Weight – 6 Furlongs Dirt
Post Time
01:47 PM CST
Pace Analysis
This maiden sprint for Oklahoma-breds should see a fast pace. Runaround Rowdy has the rail and speed, but Red Hot Shot and Love U Father will likely press the issue. The break will be crucial here.
Key Contenders
Runaround Rowdy (1) looks poised to break his maiden. With Leandro Goncalves in the irons for Scott Young, he has the connections and the post position to dictate terms. If he breaks clean, he is the one to beat. Love U Father (2) draws favorably alongside the top choice and should be right there early.
Secondary Choices
Red Hot Shot (4) brings experience and competitive speed figures to the table. Floyd Wethey Jr. is a positive jockey booking. Flat Out Luck (5) represents the C.R. Trout barn, which is always dangerous with young horses. Watch the tote board for clues on this runner.
Selections
Win: Runaround Rowdy (1) – 40% confidence Place: Red Hot Shot (4) – 25% confidence Show: Love U Father (2) – 20% confidence Alternative: Flat Out Luck (5) – 15% confidence
3rd Race – Maiden Claiming – 6 Furlongs Dirt
Post Time
02:19 PM CST
Pace Analysis
Girls Knicks Now should be aggressive from the inside. Oh My Vron and Cashout Carol also possess early foot. The pace should be honest, setting up well for a horse that can stalk and pounce.
Key Contenders
Girls Knicks Now (1) drops into a very winnable spot. The Scott Young/Belen Quinonez duo strikes again here. Her recent form suggests she is ready to graduate against this level of competition. Cashout Carol (3) has shown flashes of ability and fits well here. She should be in a good stalking position throughout.
Secondary Choices
Trish (5) has been consistent and should be in the mix for the minor awards. She lacks a winning punch but is a must-use in vertical exotics. Bougie Like (8) draws the outside and will need to work out a trip, but has the class to compete if she can get over.
Selections
Win: Girls Knicks Now (1) – 35% confidence Place: Cashout Carol (3) – 25% confidence Show: Trish (5) – 20% confidence Alternative: Bougie Like (8) – 20% confidence
4th Race – Maiden Special Weight – 6 Furlongs Dirt
Post Time
02:51 PM CST
Pace Analysis
Endless Skyway likely controls this race from the start. The pace scenario heavily favors the inside runners. Expect Endless Skyway to send and try to wire the field.
Key Contenders
Endless Skyway (1) is the clear standout. The Francisco Bravo trainee has superior speed figures and gets Leandro Goncalves. It is hard to see him losing this race barring a bad break or bad luck. Get Dreamy (5) is the logical alternative. He has been consistent and should be the main threat coming down the lane.
Secondary Choices
Captain Flatter (6) is another Scott Young entrant who should improve. Floyd Wethey Jr. takes the mount, which is a good sign. El Protonico (2) has some experience and could clunk up for a share of the purse.
Selections
Win: Endless Skyway (1) – 55% confidence Place: Get Dreamy (5) – 25% confidence Show: Captain Flatter (6) – 15% confidence Alternative: El Protonico (2) – 5% confidence
5th Race – Claiming – 5 Furlongs Dirt
Post Time
03:18 PM CST
Pace Analysis
A five-furlong dash where speed is king. Runnin On Promises and Bold Appeal will likely hook up early. Neutralize on the outside also has speed. This could be a meltdown scenario favoring a stalker.
Key Contenders
Bold Appeal (5) has the class and speed to win this. Goncalves stays on, which signals intent. Runnin On Promises (1) has the rail advantage and will be sent hard. If she shakes loose, she could be gone.
Secondary Choices
Neutralize (7) is a veteran who knows how to win. The outside post is a slight concern at this distance, but she has the tactical speed to overcome it. Miss Escapade (3) is a consistent check-earner who fits in the trifecta mix.
Selections
Win: Bold Appeal (5) – 30% confidence Place: Runnin On Promises (1) – 25% confidence Show: Neutralize (7) – 25% confidence Alternative: Miss Escapade (3) – 20% confidence
6th Race – Maiden Special Weight – 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt
Post Time
03:45 PM CST
Pace Analysis
Another sprint for maidens. Braxton’s Girl and Sleepy Music look to be the primary speed. The 5 1/2 furlong distance requires sharp breaking ability.
Key Contenders
Sleepy Music (5) represents the Miguel Angel Silva barn and should be ready to fire. The shorter distance suits her running style. Holy Ama (6) has experience and should appreciate the company. Belen Quinonez aboard is a plus.
Secondary Choices
Black Velvet Rose (4) has been knocking on the door and could breakthrough here. Braxton’s Girl (1) has the rail and could surprise if she clears the field early.
Selections
Win: Sleepy Music (5) – 35% confidence Place: Holy Ama (6) – 30% confidence Show: Black Velvet Rose (4) – 20% confidence Alternative: Braxton’s Girl (1) – 15% confidence
7th Race – Claiming – 6 Furlongs Dirt
Post Time
04:17 PM CST
Pace Analysis
Speight and Malice and Great Runner are the class of this field. They should be near the front early. The pace should be honest but not blazing.
Key Contenders
Speight and Malice (4) is a classy veteran who drops into a spot where he can dominate. He has back class and good current form. Great Runner (5) is the main danger. Alfredo Triana Jr. rides and he has shown an affinity for this track.
Secondary Choices
Sharp Lorenzo (8) draws outside but has enough speed to get a good position. David Cabrera is a strong finisher. Denington (7) is a closer who would benefit if the top two engage in a speed duel.
Selections
Win: Speight and Malice (4) – 40% confidence Place: Great Runner (5) – 30% confidence Show: Sharp Lorenzo (8) – 20% confidence Alternative: Denington (7) – 10% confidence
8th Race – Claiming – 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt
Post Time
04:44 PM CST
Pace Analysis
Mamashavnahotflash is a need-the-lead type who draws the rail. She will be sent. Rainbow Angel and Crystal Claire will likely be in pursuit.
Key Contenders
Mamashavnahotflash (1) is the speed of the speed. If she clears, she wins. The rail at 5 1/2 furlongs is a huge advantage. Rainbow Angel (7) is a quality mare who can stalk and pounce. She is the most likely winner if the top choice falters.
Secondary Choices
Crystal Claire (2) drops in class and has Obed Sanchez aboard. She should be saving ground behind the speed. Gettin Out of Here (5) has been in good form and fits well in this spot.
Selections
Win: Mamashavnahotflash (1) – 45% confidence Place: Rainbow Angel (7) – 25% confidence Show: Crystal Claire (2) – 15% confidence Alternative: Gettin Out of Here (5) – 15% confidence
9th Race – Claiming – 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt
Post Time
05:11 PM CST
Pace Analysis
A full field to close out the card. The pace will be frantic. Bridgie Bop and An Awesome Legacy will be forwardly placed. Look for a closer to pick up the pieces.
Key Contenders
An Awesome Legacy (2) has the back class to handle this field. Alfredo Triana Jr. is a key booking. Bridgie Bop (1) has the rail and speed, which is always dangerous in the nightcap.
Secondary Choices
Cabo Cowgirl (6) fits well here and should be rolling late. Mirage Code (5) is a longshot who could spice up the exotics if she gets a clean trip.
Selections
Win: An Awesome Legacy (2) – 30% confidence Place: Bridgie Bop (1) – 25% confidence Show: Cabo Cowgirl (6) – 25% confidence Alternative: Mirage Code (5) – 20% confidence
