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Fairmount Park – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News and Analysis for the June 16, 2026 card

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Race Day Overview — Fairmount Park | June 16, 2026

Fairmount Park in Collinsville, Illinois kicks off its Tuesday afternoon card with eight races spanning maiden special weight events, claiming contests, and a solid mix of distances from six furlongs to extended dirt routes. The card opens at 2:30 PM local time and runs through the final post at 5:25 PM. The total handle opportunities are significant, with a pair of $38,000 maiden special weight events anchoring the card in Races 1 and 8, while the claiming races range from the $4,000 level through $15,000 company. Fairmount Park continues its 2026 meet with competitive fields, and this Tuesday card features several familiar barns running multiple horses across the afternoon.

Trainer Edward Essenpreis is particularly active on this card, saddling horses in Races 1, 2, 3, 6, and 8, making him the dominant trainer presence today. Scott Becker also sends out multiple runners across the card, appearing in Races 4, 6, 7, and 8. Harry Lynch has runners in Races 4, 5, 6, and 7, while Ralph Martinez and Steve Manley each have horses in multiple races. The Ortega family — Javier O. and Harold Joseph — are both active in the jockey colony today, as is Alexander Bendezu, who rides in six of the eight races and figures to be the leading rider on the afternoon. The claiming prices in the middle of the card tell a story of horses moving up and down through the class ladder, and close attention to class relief angles will pay dividends throughout the afternoon.

Weather and Track Conditions — Fairmount Park | June 16, 2026

Fairmount Park is located in the Metro East St. Louis area of southwestern Illinois, and mid-June weather in this region is typically warm and humid. For June 16, 2026, the area is forecast to see partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s Fahrenheit. Humidity levels are expected to be elevated, consistent with the typical St. Louis-area summer pattern. The morning forecast indicates a small chance of afternoon convective storms developing later in the day, though the bulk of the racing card is expected to take place under dry conditions.

The main track at Fairmount Park is an all-dirt oval. Based on recent Equibase track condition reports for the meet, the surface has been listed as fast for recent racing days. With no significant rainfall reported in the 24 to 48 hours prior to this card, the main track is expected to be rated fast or possibly good if any early morning precipitation materializes.

Fairmount Park's dirt surface drains reasonably well, and the track tends to return to a fast rating quickly after rainfall. Heat and humidity can sometimes produce a slightly cuppy or sandy upper layer by the middle of the card, which can affect horses running in deep stretch. Trainers familiar with the surface will often work horses on track in the mornings to gauge surface conditions, and outfits like Essenpreis, Lynch, and Becker — all of whom are active on today's card — will have a solid read on how the surface is playing.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis — Fairmount Park

Fairmount Park is a five-eighths-mile oval, and its configuration has historically produced some tendencies worth noting. On a fast surface, speed horses have traditionally fared well at the shorter distances, particularly in the six-furlong and six-and-a-half-furlong sprints. The track's relatively tight turns reward horses that break cleanly and can secure a good position without using excessive energy in the first quarter.

In sprint races at Fairmount, inside posts — particularly Posts 1 through 3 — can be advantageous if a horse has the early speed to clear the first turn without trouble. However, outside posts in the five to eight range can also be effective when a horse has a stalking or closing running style, as the track's stretch can allow closers to make up ground on a fast, sealed surface. The dirt can play toward speed on dry, firm days, and handicappers should watch early fractions carefully to determine if the bias is speed-favoring through the card.

In route races — those at 1760 feet (approximately one mile and 70 yards) and longer — the first turn comes up quickly, and inside posts can be problematic for horses without early speed, as they risk being trapped behind a wall of horses. Posts 4 through 6 tend to be workable in route races at Fairmount, offering a chance to settle in a comfortable stalking position without burning energy from the rail or getting caught wide. The pair of route races on today's card — Races 1 and 4 at 1760 feet, Race 7 at 1870 feet, Race 6 at 1830 feet — will require close attention to running styles and whether the pace will be honest enough to allow closers to get into the picture.

For the maiden special weight routes and the claiming sprints today, keep an eye on how the first race plays out. If speed holds through the turn and into the stretch in Race 1, expect that bias to influence wagering approach through the rest of the card.

RACE 1 — Post 2:30 — 1760f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | BUM | Purse $38,000

This is a maiden special weight route for fillies and mares — the BUM designation indicating it is restricted to females — going one mile and 70 yards on the main dirt track. The $38,000 purse is among the richest on today's card, and the seven-horse field features a mix of first-time starters and lightly raced maidens trying to break through. Post time is 2:30 PM local.

Race 1

Pace Analysis

With Raz On Fire (5) installed as the 1-1 morning line favorite, the pace question centers on whether she is the dominant speed in the race or if there will be any pressure from the outside. Fancy Feet (1) and Last Candy (7) are both at 4-1 and could factor into the early fractions depending on their running styles. If Raz On Fire (5) gets to the lead unchallenged from the rail posts area, she could control a comfortable pace and be very difficult to catch. A contested pace would open the door for closers, but with only seven runners in a maiden route, true pace pressure may be minimal. Expect moderate fractions with the favorite dictating terms.

Key Contenders

Raz On Fire (5), trained by Edward Essenpreis and ridden by Ademar Santos, is the heavy morning line favorite at 1-1, and that price reflects a horse the barn clearly believes in. Essenpreis is among the more active trainers on today's card, and his ability to get maiden winners is well-documented at this level at Fairmount. Santos has the experience to manage a race-on-the-front-end trip, and in a seven-horse field at one mile and 70 yards, controlling the pace from a favorable middle post position is a significant advantage. The 1-1 morning line suggests sharp money will be on this horse, and in maiden routes with small fields, pace-controlling favorites are dangerous to oppose.

Fancy Feet (1), saddled by Steve Fridley and handled by Alexander Bendezu, is co-favorited at 4-1 on the morning line. Bendezu is the most active jockey on today's card and rides with confidence in these conditions. The inside post in a route at Fairmount can cut both ways — a horse that breaks well and saves ground is in an excellent position, but a horse that gets shuffled back or bumped early can lose all momentum. Fridley keeps a modest but competitive stable, and this filly figures to show up ready. Handicappers respect Fancy Feet (1) enough to set her at 4-1 alongside the barn favorite Bendezu, and she deserves inclusion in exotic tickets.

Secondary Choices

Last Candy (7), also at 4-1 and ridden by Luis H. Colon for trainer Terry R. Young, is the third horse at morning line prices that suggest real competitiveness. Young also has Union Roar (6) in this race, which could mean stable confidence lies with Last Candy (7) as the main runner given Colon's assignment. The outside post in a route can mean a wide journey to the first turn, but if the horse has the ability to work her way over and save ground on the turn, the post disadvantage can be overcome. Young has the experience to place a horse in position to win, and Last Candy (7) at 4-1 in a maiden route at this level is worth strong consideration.

Ima Midnight Lady (4), trained by Gabe Retana and ridden by Cory Orm, is offered at 6-1. Retana has multiple runners on today's card and is no stranger to placing horses competitively at Fairmount. Orm is a capable veteran of the Fairmount colony and will give this filly every chance. A middle post in a route suits a horse without extreme early speed, and at 6-1, Ima Midnight Lady (4) offers some value if the favorite fails to fire.

Longshots

Union Roar (6), the stablemate to Last Candy (7) trained by Terry Young and ridden by J.E. Felix, is listed at 10-1. When a trainer saddles two horses in a maiden race, the second starter sometimes receives less stable support, and in this instance the longer odds on Union Roar (6) suggest Last Candy (7) is the barn's primary hope. Felix is a capable jockey in the colony, but a winning scenario for Union Roar (6) likely requires pace collapse ahead of her.

Lauren's War (2), trained by John Rednour Jr. and ridden by Javier O. Ortega at 20-1, and Collie Wrays Kitty (3), trained by Rednour and ridden by Harold Joseph Ortega at 30-1, are stablemates in the Rednour operation. Running two long-priced runners in the same maiden route suggests the barn is developing these fillies with a long view in mind rather than expecting an immediate win. Both can be left off tickets.

Selections

Win: Raz On Fire (5) Place: Fancy Feet (1) Show: Last Candy (7)

Betting strategy: The heavy favorite Raz On Fire (5) is the obvious win contender, but the price will be short. Look to build value using exacta combinations with Fancy Feet (1) and Last Candy (7). A $2 exacta box of Raz On Fire (5) / Fancy Feet (1) / Last Candy (7) is a sound base play. Trifecta wheels with Raz On Fire (5) on top are worth constructing.

RACE 2 — Post 2:55 — 1210f | D | C | Clm 4000b | BUN | Purse $10,000

Six furlongs on the main dirt, open claiming at $4,000 buy-in for males. The BUN designation indicates this race is open to all, and the six-horse field at the low end of the claiming ladder should produce a competitive sprint. Post time is 2:55 PM.

Race 2

Pace Analysis

Danza Taxi (6), installed as the 1-1 morning line favorite, is the pace-setter to watch in this sprint. In a six-furlong dirt race at $4,000 claiming, horses with early speed are at a premium, and the favorite's morning line price suggests she commands respect on the front end. Lookin For Bala (1) and One Putt Richie (5) are co-listed at 2-1, meaning there could be multiple pace factors, which would make for a contested early speed scenario. If three horses are battling for the lead through the first three furlongs, the fractions could get fast enough to set up a closer.

Key Contenders

Danza Taxi (6), trained by Scott Becker and ridden by T. Wales, is the heavy favorite at 1-1 and deserves the position. Becker runs multiple horses on today's card, and at 1-1 in a six-horse field at $4,000 claiming, the barn has expressed strong confidence. Wales is a consistent rider in the Fairmount colony, and in a small field sprint, a horse that can push to the front and control the tempo is always dangerous. The question is whether the pace competition from the co-favorites will compromise the favorite's effort.

Lookin For Bala (1), trained by Edward Essenpreis and ridden by Reynier Arrieta, is co-listed at 2-1 alongside One Putt Richie (5). Essenpreis is the busiest trainer on today's card, and placing a 2-1 shot in Race 2 suggests this horse has real ability in the barn's eyes. Arrieta is a seasoned rider who can manage inside posts in sprints, and from Post 1, the ability to break cleanly and track the pace from the inside is critical. If Danza Taxi (6) is pressured early, Lookin For Bala (1) could swoop in down the lane.

Secondary Choices

One Putt Richie (5), trained by Ralph Martinez and ridden by Alexander Bendezu at 2-1, is a legitimate alternative. Martinez is competitive at this level, and Bendezu is the go-to rider at Fairmount today. From Post 5 in a six-horse field, this horse has a clean trip option and can rally if the pace gets honest. Bendezu's ability to find the best trip is an asset here, and the 2-1 morning line suggests handicappers believe this one is live.

Longshots

Full Magazine (3), trained by Essenpreis and ridden by Ademar Santos at 8-1, is a stablemate to Lookin For Bala (1). Running two horses at 2-1 and 8-1 from the same barn in a six-horse field is interesting — Santos is a capable rider and this horse should not be entirely dismissed in exotics, but the barn's primary hope figures to be Lookin For Bala (1).

Holden Michael (4), trained by Hugo Rodriguez and ridden by Javier Tavares at 20-1, and Safe (2), trained by Gabe Retana and ridden by Javier Diego at 30-1, are at the outer reaches of the morning line and figure to be pace fillers or longer-priced lottery tickets in exotics only.

Selections

Win: Danza Taxi (6) Place: One Putt Richie (5) Show: Lookin For Bala (1)

Betting strategy: The favorite Danza Taxi (6) is likely to be over-bet at 1-1, so finding value in exactas pairing Danza Taxi (6) with One Putt Richie (5) or Lookin For Bala (1) is the approach. A $2 exacta 6 over 1 and 5 is a reasonable play. If looking for upset value, One Putt Richie (5) over Danza Taxi (6) in an exacta is worth a small investment given Bendezu's colony-leading presence.

RACE 3 — Post 3:20 — 1320f | D | C | Clm 4000b | BUM | Purse $10,000

One mile on the dirt for fillies and mares at $4,000 claiming. The BUM designation restricts this to the female gender, and the eight-horse field is among the larger fields on today's card. Post time is 3:20 PM.

Race 3

Pace Analysis

Awesome Sunday (5) is the 1-1 morning line favorite, and with Ralph Martinez training and Alexander Bendezu in the irons, she is the likely pace-setter or at minimum a prominent runner through the early stages. Blaze Beauty (3) at 4-1 and Alternative Grace (7) at 5-1 are the primary challengers. In an eight-horse field at one mile for mares, the pace question is whether Awesome Sunday (5) gets a free lead or faces competition from the outside posts. Blaze Beauty (3) from Post 3 could be positioned to press or lead, and if both horses battle for supremacy, the door could crack open for closers.

Key Contenders

Awesome Sunday (5), trained by Ralph Martinez and ridden by Alexander Bendezu, is the clear morning line standout at 1-1. The Martinez-Bendezu combination is one of the stronger partnerships in the Fairmount colony, and the favorite pricing here reflects consistent expectations. In a one-mile claiming race for mares at this level, a horse with class, fitness, and a strong jockey partnership is difficult to beat. The middle post in a route suits a tactical runner perfectly, and Bendezu will have every opportunity to dictate terms from this position.

Alternative Grace (7), trained by Harry Lynch and ridden by Victor Lara at 5-1, is the most interesting price in the field. Lynch has runners scattered across the card today, and at 5-1 in a race where the favorite is heavily favored, Alternative Grace (7) represents real value. Lara is a capable rider in this colony, and from Post 7 in a route, the horse will need to work over toward the rail or settle wide early. A pace collapse by the favorite would benefit Alternative Grace (7) significantly.

Secondary Choices

Blaze Beauty (3), trained by Edward Essenpreis and ridden by A.O. Stanley at 4-1, is in a favorable post position for a route race. Essenpreis is the dominant trainer on the card today, and his ability to prepare mares for this level is well-established. Stanley is a workmanlike rider who will use the inside position efficiently. At 4-1, Blaze Beauty (3) is a legitimate exacta and trifecta component.

Life Of Saturdays (2), trained by Ted Randazzo and ridden by J.E. Felix at 6-1, offers mid-range value. Randazzo is a competent conditioner at Fairmount, and Felix is experienced in these conditions. From Post 2 in a one-mile route, this mare can save ground on the rail if she breaks alertly.

Longshots

Tina's Tapizar (6), trained by Steve Manley and ridden by Johanis Aranguren at 8-1, could attract some trainer attention given Manley has horses performing throughout today's card. At 8-1, she is a value play in the trifecta.

Anna After Midnite (8), trained by Frank C. Randazzo Jr. and ridden by Javier Tavares at 10-1, is a longer price but could trip into the money in a contested pace scenario from the outside post.

Scrapbook (1), trained by Fernando Bahena and ridden by R. Jaime at 15-1, and Delta Lady (4), trained by Robert Pompell and ridden by Emmanuel Giles at 20-1, are morning line outsiders. Scrapbook (1) from Post 1 could find the rail, but the price suggests limited recent form. Delta Lady (4) at 20-1 is a trifecta-only consideration at best.

Selections

Win: Awesome Sunday (5) Place: Alternative Grace (7) Show: Blaze Beauty (3)

Betting strategy: Awesome Sunday (5) at 1-1 will be popular, but the value in this race is in using Alternative Grace (7) as an upset alternative in exactas and in the trifecta third leg. A trifecta box of Awesome Sunday (5), Blaze Beauty (3), and Alternative Grace (7) is a logical structure. Also consider an exacta key: Alternative Grace (7) over Awesome Sunday (5) for a small investment if you believe the favorite could be vulnerable on the pace.

RACE 4 — Post 3:45 — 1760f | D | C | Clm 5000n2l | BUM | Purse $10,200

One mile and 70 yards on the main dirt for fillies and mares, non-winners of two lifetime at $5,000 claiming. The BUM and n2l conditions narrow this field to mares with limited wins, making class and conditioning particularly important. Eight runners are entered. Post time is 3:45 PM.

Race 4

Pace Analysis

Win With Color (7), installed at 1-1 by trainer Scott Becker and jockey Alexander Bendezu, is the clear speed and class figure in the race. Girls Knicks Now (6) at 2-1, trained by Charles Davis Jr. and ridden by Ademar Santos, is the primary challenger and could press or stalk from Post 6. In a route with a well-backed favorite and a solid second choice, the pace is likely to be honest but not suicidal. If Win With Color (7) controls it from the outside post to the field's position, Bendezu can set the tempo at his leisure. If Girls Knicks Now (6) applies pressure from Post 6, the fractions could get interesting.

Key Contenders

Win With Color (7), trained by Scott Becker and ridden by Alexander Bendezu, is the 1-1 morning line favorite and the clear class runner in this field. Becker has multiple runners on today's card, and singling out Win With Color (7) at the 1-1 morning line in an n2l route suggests genuine confidence. Bendezu has been the dominant force in the Fairmount colony, and getting the call on the morning line favorite in a route signals the stable's intent. Post 7 in a route at Fairmount can mean a wide trip to the first turn, but for a horse with enough early ability to control the pace, the position is manageable.

Girls Knicks Now (6), trained by Charles Davis Jr. and ridden by Ademar Santos at 2-1, is the natural challenger. Santos is riding on multiple races today, and at 2-1, Davis has a mare that figures to run competitively. From Post 6 in a route, this horse is well-placed to stalk the pace and challenge in the stretch. If Win With Color (7) is not at her best today, Girls Knicks Now (6) is fully capable of filling the void.

Secondary Choices

Risky Spirit (3), trained by Scott Becker and ridden by Victor Santiago at 4-1, is a Becker stablemate to Win With Color (7). Running two horses in the same race is a common trainer strategy, and at 4-1, Risky Spirit (3) is likely the secondary option for the stable. Santiago is a competent rider who can manage a route from Post 3, and this filly could surprise if Win With Color (7) has any trouble.

Lution (1), trained by Harry Lynch and ridden by A.O. Stanley at 8-1, is the inside post runner. Lynch has horses spread throughout the card, and at 8-1, Lution (1) could be a value play if the pace develops chaotically and allows the inside runner to sneak through.

Longshots

Steal Proud (2), trained by Gabe Retana and ridden by Cory Orm at 15-1, has Orm in the irons and Retana behind the conditioning. At 15-1, this mare is likely running without the condition edge needed to challenge at the top of the field, but she can fill a trifecta at long odds.

Redheadedstranger (5), trained by Amy Nesbitt and ridden by T. Wales at 20-1, and Diva Las Vegas (8), trained by Terry Burdess and ridden by Victor Lara at 30-1, are at the outer limits of the morning line and should be considered trifecta-only options at best. Chant Nation (4), trained by Pat Clay and ridden by Javier O. Ortega at 30-1, rounds out the field at the bottom of the morning line and is of minimal wagering interest.

Selections

Win: Win With Color (7) Place: Girls Knicks Now (6) Show: Risky Spirit (3)

Betting strategy: Win With Color (7) at 1-1 with Bendezu from Becker's barn is a strong single in the Pick 4 or Pick 5 if you are running through these races. In the win pool, the price is short, so exactas with Girls Knicks Now (6) underneath offer better return. An exacta box of Win With Color (7) and Girls Knicks Now (6) is the base play. Risky Spirit (3) deserves trifecta inclusion as the stablemate wild card.

RACE 5 — Post 4:10 — 1320f | D | C | Clm 15000n3l | BUN | Purse $14,000

One mile on the dirt for open company, non-winners of three lifetime at $15,000 claiming. This is the highest claiming level among the sprint and middle-distance races on today's card, and the seven-horse field should feature classier, more experienced runners. Post time is 4:10 PM.

Race 5

Pace Analysis

Govenor Hank (2), the 1-1 morning line favorite, and Shortstop (5) at 2-1 figure to be the primary pace factors in this one-mile race. If Govenor Hank (2) controls the pace from Post 2 with Bendezu aboard, the race develops around his running style. Shortstop (5), trained by James Watkins and ridden by Johanis Aranguren, is a competent stalker that will look to run down the leader. The pace in a $15,000 claiming mile is likely to be more honest than in the lower-level routes earlier on the card, with several horses having enough class to push the tempo.

Key Contenders

Govenor Hank (2), trained by Steve Manley and ridden by Alexander Bendezu at 1-1, is the morning line standout. Manley and Bendezu combine on multiple horses today, and the 1-1 price on Govenor Hank (2) at the $15,000 level is a strong statement from the morning line makers. Post 2 in a one-mile dirt race at Fairmount is excellent, allowing the horse to save ground on the rail if needed or press the pace from a comfortable inside lane. Bendezu's tactical intelligence in route races is a genuine asset at this class level.

Shortstop (5), trained by James Watkins and ridden by Johanis Aranguren at 2-1, is the logical alternative. A horse at 2-1 in the n3l category at $15,000 suggests a solid form line and enough ability to threaten the favorite. Aranguren has been aboard multiple horses on today's card, and from Post 5 in a one-mile race, he can sit in a stalking position and strike when the pace sets up.

Secondary Choices

Red Speedo (7), trained by Harry Lynch and ridden by J.E. Felix at 5-1, is a worth watching at this price. Lynch has horses on multiple races today, and when he pairs with a proven jockey like Felix, there is usually some intent behind the entry. From Post 7 in a one-mile race, this horse will need to work over or rally from outside, but if the pace collapses, the position can actually be advantageous in late stages.

Cutlass King (4), trained by Harry Lynch and ridden by Victor Lara at 6-1, is a Lynch stablemate to Red Speedo (7). Running two horses at 5-1 and 6-1 from the same barn is intriguing — Lynch appears to have genuine confidence in both and is not simply filling the field. At 6-1, Cutlass King (4) is a solid exacta companion in most combinations.

Longshots

Skylane (6), trained by Frank Randazzo Jr. and ridden by Javier Tavares at 10-1, is an interesting longer price. Randazzo has runners elsewhere on the card, and at 10-1, Skylane (6) is worth a small exotic play if you believe the pace sets up for a closer from the outside.

Nations Dream (3), trained by Billy McEwen and ridden by Cory Orm at 20-1, is a significant underdog but could fill a trifecta if the pace crumbles at the top. Steve (1), trained by Marvel Straub and ridden by Victor Santiago at 30-1, is the longest-priced runner in the field and is minimal wagering interest except in deep exotic structures.

Selections

Win: Govenor Hank (2) Place: Shortstop (5) Show: Red Speedo (7)

Betting strategy: The Manley-Bendezu combination on Govenor Hank (2) at 1-1 is a legitimate single for the Pick 4 running from Race 5 through Race 8. In the win pool, the price will be unattractive, so build value in exactas with Shortstop (5) underneath. An exacta key of Govenor Hank (2) over Shortstop (5), Red Speedo (7), and Cutlass King (4) covers the four most likely finishers. The Lynch double of Cutlass King (4) and Red Speedo (7) in the trifecta is worth pursuing.

RACE 6 — Post 4:35 — 1830f | D | C | Clm 5000n1y | BUN | Purse $10,800

One mile and approximately 110 yards on the main dirt for open company, non-winners in the last year at $5,000 claiming. The n1y condition is a specific class filter that produces interesting fields — horses that have won previously but have not visited the winner's circle in 12 months. Eight runners are entered. Post time is 4:35 PM.

Race 6

Pace Analysis

Gold Smoke (7), the 1-1 morning line favorite trained by Edward Essenpreis and ridden by Ademar Santos, is the dominant figure in a race where most runners have been out of the winner's circle for at least a year. The pace depends significantly on how many of these horses are forward-runners with early speed. Tapinyourbluejeans (6) at 2-1 and Midnite Alex (4) at 4-1 are the most likely pace participants or pressers. In a 1830-foot route for horses returning to the winner's circle hunt, the pace may be moderate with the favorite expected to have enough class to dominate.

Key Contenders

Gold Smoke (7), trained by Edward Essenpreis and ridden by Ademar Santos, is at 1-1 and is the most heavily backed runner in Race 6. Essenpreis is the dominant trainer on today's card, and when he sends out a 1-1 morning line favorite in an n1y condition at $5,000, the horse typically has recent competitive form in the barn's eyes. Santos, aboard multiple horses today, handles route races competently and will have every opportunity to control or track the pace from Post 7. The question is whether a horse that has not won in a year is truly returning to peak form — and at 1-1, the wagering public will answer that question emphatically.

Tapinyourbluejeans (6), trained by Ralph Martinez and ridden by Alexander Bendezu at 2-1, is the top alternative. The Martinez-Bendezu team is the most consistent pairing at Fairmount today, and at 2-1 in an n1y route, this horse has been competitive enough recently that the barn targets this spot. From Post 6 in a 1830-foot race, Bendezu can sit just off the favorite's flank and challenge in the stretch if Gold Smoke (7) shows any signs of weakness.

Secondary Choices

Midnite Alex (4), trained by Terry Burdess and ridden by J.E. Felix at 4-1, is a solid price if the two leaders engage each other too aggressively. Felix has riding experience at Fairmount, and from Post 4 in this route, Midnite Alex (4) can take a ground-saving trip and emerge late if the pace collapses.

Cantstealmythunder (2), trained by Lori Plasters and ridden by Victor Santiago at 10-1, offers some value at a double-digit morning line price. In n1y races, unexpected winners can emerge when horses are returning from successful training moves, and at 10-1, Cantstealmythunder (2) could be a trifecta or exacta surprise.

Longshots

Gold Jerry (8), trained by Ben DeLong and ridden by A.O. Stanley at 12-1, shares the “Gold” naming theme with the favorite and is a longer-priced entry. Stanley is a capable jockey in the colony and will attempt to find a ground-saving trip from Post 8.

Crepe Yarns (5), trained by Adrian Salazar and ridden by Harold Joseph Ortega at 10-1, is matched with Gold Jerry (8) at morning line price and could emerge in an upset scenario. Salazar is a lesser-known conditioner in this colony, making this one more speculative.

Best Man Speech (3), trained by Harry Lynch and ridden by Victor Lara at 30-1, is a long shot with Lynch sending him in as what appears to be a development start at this level. Macho Ronnie (1), trained by Tammy Hornsby and ridden by Cory Orm at 20-1, rounds out the field. Hornsby also saddles horses in Race 7, and at 20-1 here, Macho Ronnie (1) is of minimal win interest.

Selections

Win: Gold Smoke (7) Place: Tapinyourbluejeans (6) Show: Midnite Alex (4)

Betting strategy: Gold Smoke (7) at 1-1 is likely to go off even shorter on the board given Essenpreis's strong presence today. Exacta pairings of Gold Smoke (7) and Tapinyourbluejeans (6) in both directions offer some value given Bendezu's strong partnership with Martinez. The trifecta key using Gold Smoke (7) on top, Tapinyourbluejeans (6) second, with Midnite Alex (4) and Cantstealmythunder (2) in third is a reasonable structure.

RACE 7 — Post 5:00 — 1870f | D | C | Clm 15000n4l | BUN | Purse $14,500

One mile and approximately 200 yards on the main dirt for open company, non-winners of four lifetime at $15,000 claiming. This is the deepest condition race on the card, and the $14,500 purse attracts a seven-horse field with horses that have done enough winning to reach the n4l level but are limited in career victories. Post time is 5:00 PM.

Race 7

Pace Analysis

Bernin Tune (1), installed at 1-1 by trainer Steve Manley and jockey Victor Lara, is the morning line favorite in what figures to be one of the most competitive races on the card. Dinner At Crumpies (2) at 4-1 and Arky Road (6) at 4-1 give this race a competitive pace structure. In a 1870-foot route at $15,000 claiming for open company, the pace is likely to be honest with multiple horses capable of running near the front. If Bernin Tune (1) has gate speed from Post 1 and Lara can control the pace on the inside, this is a very favorable scenario. A multi-horse pace battle would benefit closers.

Key Contenders

Bernin Tune (1), trained by Steve Manley and ridden by Victor Lara at 1-1, is the morning line standout and holds the coveted rail in a race where inside posts are extremely valuable in a 1870-foot route. Manley is active on today's card, and placing his highest-profile runner at 1-1 in the afternoon's penultimate race is a confident statement. Lara has the ability to rate a horse and manage a long route, and from Post 1, saving every possible bit of ground on a small oval like Fairmount is a substantial advantage. This horse is a legitimate single in Pick 4 and Pick 5 structures.

Dinner At Crumpies (2), trained by Tammy Hornsby and ridden by Ademar Santos at 4-1, is a strong alternative. Hornsby runs Patch O'brien (3) in the same race, and at 4-1, Dinner At Crumpies (2) appears to be the barn's primary hope with Santos aboard. Santos is a strong route rider, and Post 2 in a long route is nearly as favorable as Post 1. If Bernin Tune (1) has any issues, Dinner At Crumpies (2) is perfectly positioned to capitalize.

Secondary Choices

Arky Road (6), trained by Scott Becker and ridden by Alexander Bendezu at 4-1, is the third co-choice at morning line, creating a three-way tie for second with Dinner At Crumpies (2). Becker has multiple horses on today's card, and pairing with Bendezu — the colony's leading rider — at $15,000 n4l level is a competitive combination. From Post 6 in a route, Bendezu will need to work the horse into position on or near the pace, but the trainer's experience in these conditions is a significant asset.

Patch O'brien (3), trained by Tammy Hornsby and ridden by Cory Orm at 6-1, is the Hornsby stablemate to Dinner At Crumpies (2). With two horses in the same route, stable strategy can become a factor. Orm is a capable rider, and from Post 3, Patch O'brien (3) is well-positioned to sit inside and rally in the stretch.

Longshots

Mystic Power (7), trained by Jose G. Rodriguez and ridden by Javier Tavares at 10-1, is the most attractive of the longer-priced runners. Tavares has riding experience throughout the card today, and from Post 7 in a route, a closer running style would be required. At 10-1, Mystic Power (7) is a legitimate trifecta and exacta secondary play.

Shaggy Edge (5), trained by Mike Durham and ridden by J.E. Felix at 15-1, and Nightwind (4), trained by Durham and ridden by Johanis Aranguren at 20-1, are both from the same barn. Durham running two horses at these prices suggests developmental entries rather than live contenders, but one of them could fill the trifecta in a contested pace scenario.

Selections

Win: Bernin Tune (1) Place: Arky Road (6) Show: Dinner At Crumpies (2)

Betting strategy: Bernin Tune (1) at 1-1 is a potential single in Pick 4 structures. The race features a compelling three-way co-choice at morning line among Dinner At Crumpies (2), Arky Road (6), and Patch O'brien (3), meaning exacta combinations involving any of these three with the favorite are worth constructing. A trifecta box of Bernin Tune (1), Arky Road (6), and Dinner At Crumpies (2) is a solid play. If looking to beat the favorite, the Hornsby double of Dinner At Crumpies (2) and Patch O'brien (3) in the exacta is a value play.

RACE 8 — Post 5:25 — 1210f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | BUM | Purse $38,000

Six furlongs on the main dirt for fillies and mares in maiden special weight company. This is the richest race on the card by purse amount, tied at $38,000 with Race 1, and the 12-horse field is the largest of the day. The BUM designation restricts the race to females, and the wide spread of morning line odds — from 2-1 to 30-1 — suggests a genuinely open race. Post time is 5:25 PM.

Race 8

Pace Analysis

Turtle Pace (1) and Karazest (8) share the 2-1 morning line co-favorite billing in a 12-horse maiden sprint, which means pace is inherently difficult to predict with this many runners. Post 1 in a six-furlong sprint can be advantageous for a horse with early speed — breaking clean from the inside, finding the rail, and saving ground throughout. Karazest (8) from Post 8 will need to either rush up early to secure position or settle further back, which is a less favorable scenario in a six-furlong sprint. If both favorites have early speed, the clash between their running styles could produce a fast pace that benefits closers. Milaalah (6) at 6-1 and Miss Duquoin (12) at 12-1 could be pace factors as well, given the large field.

Key Contenders

Turtle Pace (1), trained by Scott Becker and ridden by Victor Santiago at 2-1, draws the rail in the biggest field of the day. Becker's familiarity with Fairmount's surface and the rail post in a six-furlong sprint is a legitimate advantage. If Turtle Pace (1) breaks alertly and finds the rail immediately, she can control pace at a comfortable tempo and be very difficult to run down late. Santiago has riding experience in these maiden conditions, and for a Becker trainee at the maiden level, the 2-1 price reflects genuine barn confidence.

Karazest (8), trained by Scott Becker and ridden by Alexander Bendezu at 2-1, gives Becker a double-barreled attack in the race's richest event. Having both the leading jockey in Bendezu and the capable Santiago aboard the two co-favorites from the same barn is an unusual — and aggressive — stable strategy. Karazest (8) from Post 8 in a 12-horse maiden sprint faces more of a tactical challenge than the inside runner, but Bendezu's ability to find the best trip in any scenario gives this filly every chance. This barn typically has a primary and secondary preference, and the public may decide between the two through early wagering.

Secondary Choices

Milaalah (6), trained by Harry Lynch and ridden by Victor Lara at 6-1, is the top non-Becker filly in the field. Lynch has runners spread across the card today, and selecting Victor Lara — a capable journeyman — for this spot suggests the barn believes in her chances. From Post 6 in a 12-horse maiden sprint, Milaalah (6) is ideally positioned to find a stalking spot three or four lengths off the pace and strike in deep stretch if the favorites are compromised.

Arose For Lily (2), trained by Edward Essenpreis and ridden by Johanis Aranguren at 10-1, is a trainer who knows this track inside out. Essenpreis runs multiple horses today, and at 10-1 in the card's richest race, Arose For Lily (2) from Post 2 could be a value play if the inside post helps her find position early. Aranguren has ridden several races on today's card and will be comfortable in this environment.

Longshots

Miss Duquoin (12), trained by John Rednour Jr. and ridden by Harold Joseph Ortega at 12-1, is the outermost post runner. In a 12-horse six-furlong sprint, Post 12 requires a horse to either rush aggressively for position — using energy early — or settle wide throughout, which is rarely a winning strategy in maiden sprints. However, Rednour is a seasoned conditioner at Fairmount, and at 12-1, the price offers some exotic value.

Libby Loo (4), trained by Essenpreis and ridden by Reynier Arrieta at 15-1, is a longer-priced stablemate to Arose For Lily (2). Arrieta is a capable rider, and in a 12-horse maiden sprint, this filly could surface in the trifecta. Chinatown Girl (11), trained by Amy Nesbitt and ridden by Javier O. Ortega at 20-1, is an outside post runner who faces a wide trip. Ky O Sister (10), trained by Steve Manley and ridden by Ademar Santos at 20-1, gives Manley another entry in the finale. Santos is active all day, and at 20-1 in a large field, this is a trifecta-only play. Enchanted Moment (7), trained by James Watkins and ridden by Cory Orm at 20-1, is similar in profile.

Ladies Legacy (3), trained by Shane Childers and ridden by A.O. Stanley at 30-1, Imtheinnocentone (5), trained by Gabe Retana and ridden by Javier Diego at 30-1, and Red Dover (9), trained by Robert Pompell and ridden by Emmanuel Giles at 30-1, are the longest-priced runners in the field. All three will likely find the board only in a very chaotic race scenario.

Selections

Win: Turtle Pace (1) Place: Karazest (8) Show: Milaalah (6)

Betting strategy: The Becker one-two punch of Turtle Pace (1) and Karazest (8) presents a fascinating wagering question. Boxing these two in the exacta is logical and covers both barns possible preferences. At 2-1 each, the exacta will not pay huge, but the trifecta with Milaalah (6) underneath offers real value at 6-1. A trifecta box of Turtle Pace (1), Karazest (8), and Milaalah (6) is the recommended structure. Arose For Lily (2) at 10-1 from Post 2 deserves a small trifecta inclusion as the Essenpreis entry on the inside.

Jockey Notes and Insights

Alexander Bendezu is the jockey to follow at Fairmount Park on June 16. He rides in six of the eight races — aboard Fancy Feet (1) in Race 1, One Putt Richie (5) in Race 2, Awesome Sunday (5) in Race 3, Win With Color (7) in Race 4, Govenor Hank (2) in Race 5, Arky Road (6) in Race 7, and Karazest (8) in Race 8. When the leading rider at a small track like Fairmount receives this volume of quality mounts on a single card, it is almost always because the barns involved — Martinez, Becker, Manley — trust him with their best chances. Bendezu's presence on morning line favorites and co-favorites throughout the card is a genuine handicapping angle.

Ademar Santos is the second most active rider today, appearing in Race 1 aboard Raz On Fire (5), Race 2 aboard Full Magazine (3), Race 3's BLAZE BEAUTY was assigned to Stanley but Santos rides Girls Knicks Now (6) in Race 4, Gold Smoke (7) in Race 6, Dinner At Crumpies (2) in Race 7, and Ky O Sister (10) in Race 8. Santos riding the 1-1 favorites in Races 1 and 6 suggests strong connections with the Essenpreis barn.

Victor Lara holds notable mounts on Alternative Grace (7) in Race 3, Diva Las Vegas (8) in Race 4, Cutlass King (4) in Race 5, Best Man Speech (3) in Race 6, and the 1-1 morning line favorite Bernin Tune (1) in Race 7. The assignment on Bernin Tune (1) in Race 7 is Lara's most significant ride of the day, and the Manley-Lara combination on that morning line favorite is worth tracking.

Cory Orm rides consistently throughout the card — Ima Midnight Lady (4) in Race 1, Steal Proud (2) in Race 4, Nations Dream (3) in Race 5, Macho Ronnie (1) in Race 6, Patch O'brien (3) in Race 7, and Enchanted Moment (7) in Race 8. Orm is a veteran of this colony and will be effective on horses with proper running styles for the conditions.

J.E. Felix handles Union Roar (6) in Race 1, Life Of Saturdays (2) in Race 3, Midnite Alex (4) in Race 6, Shaggy Edge (5) in Race 7, and Red Speedo (7) in Race 5. Felix is a capable journeyman who will maximize opportunities from mid-range positions.

Victor Santiago rides Turtle Pace (1) in Race 8 — the co-favorite in the card's final race — as well as Steve (1) in Race 5, Risky Spirit (3) in Race 4, and Cantstealmythunder (2) in Race 6. Santiago aboard a Becker morning line co-favorite in Race 8 is a significant assignment.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Edward Essenpreis is the single most active trainer on today's card, saddling Raz On Fire (5) in Race 1, Lookin For Bala (1) and Full Magazine (3) in Race 2, Blaze Beauty (3) in Race 3, Gold Smoke (7) in Race 6, and Arose For Lily (2) and Libby Loo (4) in Race 8. The presence of two 1-1 morning line favorites — Raz On Fire (5) and Gold Smoke (7) — from the same trainer on the same afternoon is notable and suggests the barn is in sharp form. Essenpreis is one of the most respected conditioners at Fairmount, and his horses at short prices deserve serious wagering consideration.

Scott Becker has a remarkable card, entering Danza Taxi (6) in Race 2, Risky Spirit (3) and Win With Color (7) in Race 4, Arky Road (6) in Race 7, and the double-entry Turtle Pace (1) and Karazest (8) in Race 8. The combination of four morning line favorites and co-favorites across five races from the same trainer — particularly the Race 8 double entry — makes Becker the trainer to watch for performance consistency throughout the afternoon.

Steve Manley saddles Govenor Hank (2) in Race 5, Tina's Tapizar (6) in Race 3, Bernin Tune (1) in Race 7, and Ky O Sister (10) in Race 8. The 1-1 morning line on Bernin Tune (1) in Race 7 is Manley's highest-profile runner today, and his combination with Victor Lara on that horse is a top wagering consideration.

Ralph Martinez contributes One Putt Richie (5) in Race 2 and Awesome Sunday (5) in Race 3, both co-listed morning line favorites, and Tapinyourbluejeans (6) in Race 6. The consistent pairing with Bendezu on his key runners makes Martinez's horses easy to identify and support.

Harry Lynch runs multiple horses across the card: Lution (1) in Race 4, Cutlass King (4) and Red Speedo (7) in Race 5, Best Man Speech (3) in Race 6, Milaalah (6) in Race 8, and Alternative Grace (7) in Race 3. Lynch's double entry of Cutlass King (4) and Red Speedo (7) in Race 5 at similar morning line odds suggests genuine confidence in both, making them attractive exacta components against the favorite.

Tammy Hornsby runs Dinner At Crumpies (2) and Patch O'brien (3) in Race 7 — a double entry from the same barn in the same route race. With Santos on the 4-1 Dinner At Crumpies (2) and Orm on the 6-1 Patch O'brien (3), Hornsby has two legitimate horses in contention. The trainer's ability to have two horses live in the same route at $15,000 claiming suggests an active, competitive barn.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The most important macro wagering theme on this card is the Becker and Essenpreis domination. Essenpreis sends out the two 1-1 morning line favorites of the card — Raz On Fire (5) in Race 1 and Gold Smoke (7) in Race 6 — and is involved in five of the eight races. Becker places morning line favorites in Races 2, 4, 7, and 8 and sends out both co-favorites in Race 8. Building a wagering structure around these trainers' most trusted runners while incorporating value alternatives is the cornerstone of a successful ticket today.

Pick 4 Structure (Races 5 through 8): The final Pick 4 is the most attractive multi-race sequence on today's card. Govenor Hank (2) in Race 5 at 1-1, Gold Smoke (7) in Race 6 at 1-1, Bernin Tune (1) in Race 7 at 1-1, and Turtle Pace (1) or Karazest (8) in Race 8 at 2-1 create a sequence where three 1-1 morning line favorites could all deliver. If you single Govenor Hank (2), Gold Smoke (7), and Bernin Tune (1) and use Turtle Pace (1) and Karazest (8) in Race 8, the $1 Pick 4 ticket costs $2. This is a disciplined structure for a card where multiple favorites appear well-placed.

Pick 4 Structure (Races 1 through 4): The early Pick 4 features Raz On Fire (5) in Race 1 as a strong single, Danza Taxi (6) in Race 2 as the morning line favorite, Awesome Sunday (5) in Race 3 as a single, and Win With Color (7) in Race 4. Singling all four in a $1 Pick 4 costs $1 but requires all four to deliver — a riskier but higher-paying structure. A more conservative approach uses Raz On Fire (5) and Awesome Sunday (5) as singles with two choices each in Races 2 and 4.

Exacta Value Plays: The best single-race exacta values are in Race 5 — pairing Govenor Hank (2) with the Lynch double of Cutlass King (4) and Red Speedo (7) — and in Race 7, where the three-way co-choice at 4-1 between Dinner At Crumpies (2), Arky Road (6), and Patch O'brien (3) offers chances to beat the 1-1 favorite Bernin Tune (1) at a price that returns meaningful value.

Trifecta Value: Race 8 is the card's most exotic-friendly race with 12 runners, three morning line favorites, and a wide-open field below the top three. A trifecta structure using Turtle Pace (1) and Karazest (8) on top, Milaalah (6) in second, and a spread of Arose For Lily (2), Miss Duquoin (12), and Libby Loo (4) in third could return substantial value in a race that naturally produces multi-digit trifectas with this field size.

Best Overall Value Play of the Card: Alternative Grace (7) in Race 3 at 5-1 is the single best value play on the card. In a one-mile maiden claiming route for mares, the Lynch trainee at 5-1 with Victor Lara offers genuine upset potential against the 1-1 favorite Awesome Sunday (5). If the Martinez-Bendezu combination faces any trouble in a pace duel with Blaze Beauty (3), Alternative Grace (7) could be the last mare standing in the stretch. Using Alternative Grace (7) on top in an exacta over Awesome Sunday (5) is a play with meaningful return that costs very little to include on your Race 3 ticket.

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