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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Trials, 350Y, Dirt, Purse: $8,800
Win: 5-Master Of The Craft (Very High Confidence)🥈
Place: 3-Block N Tell (Very High Confidence)
Show: 7-True Tell (High Confidence)
Alternative: 4-Cyber Finale (High Confidence)
Notes: Limited form data makes this challenging to assess. Block N Tell appears frequently across analyst picks and shows tactical speed advantage from favorable draw. Master Of The Craft features strongly despite minimal career data. Short 350-yard distance emphasizes gate speed and early acceleration. Inside posts provide measurable edge in quick sprints at Turf Paradise.
Race 2 – Trials, 350Y, Dirt, Purse: $8,800
Win: 5-Famous In Lace (Very High Confidence)
Place: 4-Nonika Cartel (Very High Confidence)
Show: 6-Alitlelesstalk (High Confidence)🥇
Alternative: 8-Zm Jess (Moderate Confidence)🥈
Notes: Famous In Lace draws strong support as win candidate with proven form advantage. Nonika Cartel appears consistently suggesting rock-solid place potential. Race sets up favorably for early speed types. Alitlelesstalk brings tactical flexibility from favorable post. Short sprint distance rewards gate sharpness and early foot.
Race 3 – Trials, 350Y, Dirt, Purse: $8,800 WIN
Win: 5-Heart On A Run (Very High Confidence)🥇
Place: 7-Stellaaa (Very High Confidence)
Show: 4-Jess Icon (Very High Confidence)🥉
Alternative: 3-Cartels Most Wanted (Moderate Confidence)
Notes: Heart On A Run receives strong support and should control tempo from the outset. Multiple analysts note limited form makes race difficult to assess with confidence. Stellaaa and Jess Icon both bring forward speed suggesting competitive early fractions. One Apolitical Queen mentioned as potential upset by select analysts if leaders engage too aggressively. Short distance emphasizes gate speed and early positioning advantages.
Race 4 – Starter Optional Claiming, 1433Y (6.5F), Dirt, Purse: $14,000
Win: 5-Chuckanut Bay (Very High Confidence)🥈
Place: 4-Bango For Bucks (High Confidence)
Show: 6-Lansdowne (Very High Confidence)🥇
Alternative: 7-Always On Cay (High Confidence)
Notes: Chuckanut Bay dominates analyst consensus and appears virtually uncatchable at heavy favorite odds. Lansdowne brings proven form and tactical versatility from favorable outside post. Always On Cay could benefit if early pace proves taxing for leaders. Quality Cat mentioned as potential upset by select sources if pace scenario develops favorably. Race distance suits tactical runners with closing kick.
Race 5 – Claiming, 8F (1 Mile), Turf, Purse: $11,500
Win: 4-Mya Way (Very High Confidence)
Place: 6-Striking Notes (Very High Confidence)🥈
Show: 3-Not A Word (Very High Confidence)
Alternative: 1-C C’s Heart (Moderate Confidence)🥇
Notes: Mya Way receives strong support but faces legitimate competition from Striking Notes. Both horses show strong form suggesting reliable positioning. Not A Word appears consistently suggesting rock-solid show potential. Turf Paradise turf course shows measurable inside bias favoring tactical speed from inner posts. Dyin A Thirst mentioned as potential longshot value play. One-mile distance on firm turf rewards tactical positioning and closing kick.
Race 6 – Maiden Claiming, 1105Y (5F), Dirt, Purse: $10,000
Win: 3-Bizzy Lizzy (Very High Confidence)🥈
Place: 5-Gray Sea (Very High Confidence)🥉
Show: 7-Sweet Beth (Very High Confidence)
Alternative: 1-Kaydee My Love (Moderate Confidence)
Notes: Multiple analysts note top three selections appear significantly stronger than remainder of field. Bizzy Lizzy receives broadest support but Gray Sea draws attention for class advantage after stepping down. Sweet Beth showed marked improvement in recent start over course and distance. Itsgrandsalamitime mentioned as potential upset candidate. Short five-furlong distance favors early speed types. Maiden claimers often produce unpredictable results warranting caution in exotic wagers.
Race 7 – Maiden Claiming, 1433Y (6.5F), Dirt, Purse: $8,500 BOXED EXACTA
Win: 3-Reach Higher (Very High Confidence)🥈
Place: 1-Mendelssohns Music (Very High Confidence)🥇
Show: 2-Rapping Rumor (High Confidence)
Alternative: 9-Mom Says (Moderate Confidence)
Notes: Multiple analysts note difficulty separating top selections. Mom Says draws attention for significant class drop but brings minimal local form. Reach Higher and Mendelssohns Music both feature fast leader profiles suggesting competitive early fractions. Lord Sterling mentioned as potential value option despite long odds. Race sets up for pace pressure between forward types. Tequilalittletime noted as longshot with upset potential if pace collapses.
Race 8 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 1433Y (6.5F), Dirt, Purse: $19,000
Win: 9-Coastal Kid (High Confidence)
Place: 10-Positivity (High Confidence)🥈
Show: 8-Happy Dancer (Very High Confidence)
Alternative: 2-Mississippi Man (Very High Confidence)
Notes: Multiple analysts note minimal separation between top selections suggesting wide-open competitive race. Positivity draws significant attention despite outside post suggesting analysts believe quality overcomes draw disadvantage. Coastal Kid and Happy Dancer both bring proven form at allowance optional claiming level. Mississippi Man appears consistently as value play with tactical running style. Desperate Man mentioned as potential upset candidate. Race distance and competitive field favor tactical runners with closing kick over pure speed types.
Race 9 – Starter Optional Claiming, 8F (1 Mile), Turf, Purse: $11,000
Win: 4-Oh Angel (High Confidence)
Place: 5-Vronsky Feint (High Confidence)🥈
Show: 2-Little Bit Tipsy (Very High Confidence)
Alternative: 3-Fall Moon (Very High Confidence)🥇
Notes: Multiple analysts note difficulty separating top selections in competitive turf route. Oh Angel draws strongest overall support but Vronsky Feint brings competitive pedigree despite unfamiliarity with Turf Paradise turf course. Roses R Blue appears consistently across analyst picks suggesting reliable exotic inclusion. Fall Moon features prominently with stalker running style potentially advantageous if early pace proves honest. Turf Paradise one-mile turf course historically favors inside posts and tactical speed. Hurricain Hunter mentioned as potential upset candidate. Full field suggests wide-open betting race with multiple legitimate contenders.
Recommended Exotic Wagers and Value Plays
Early Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)
Key: 5-Master Of The Craft (Race 1), 5-Famous In Lace (Race 2), 5-Heart On A Run (Race 3)
Supporting: 3-Block N Tell (Race 1), 4-Nonika Cartel (Race 2), 7-Stellaaa (Race 3)
Pick Pony analysts suggest all three early Quarter Horse trials feature strong consensus favorites with Heart On A Run receiving broad support in Race 3. Short 350-yard distances emphasize gate speed and early positioning advantages. Consider wheeling Heart On A Run with multiple runners in opening two races given strong analyst confidence. Limited form data in two-year-old trials warrants caution with larger ticket investments.
Mid-Card Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)
Single: 5-Chuckanut Bay (Race 4)
Spread: 4-Mya Way, 6-Striking Notes (Race 5), 3-Bizzy Lizzy, 5-Gray Sea (Race 6), 3-Reach Higher, 1-Mendelssohns Music, 9-Mom Says (Race 7)
Pick Pony analysts identify Chuckanut Bay as strongest single of entire card receiving broad support at prohibitive odds. This allows spreading in remaining three competitive legs. Race 5 turf mile features strong contenders. Race 6 maiden field appears evenly matched between top selections. Race 7 shows division among analysts. Consider deeper coverage in Race 7 given varied opinion.
Race 5 Exacta Box Value
Key Horses: 4-Mya Way, 6-Striking Notes
Value Inclusions: 3-Not A Word, 2-Dyin A Thirst
Pick Pony analysts note turf course inside bias favoring tactical speed from favorable posts. Both Mya Way and Striking Notes show strong form suggesting reliable positioning. Not A Word receives consistent support warranting exacta inclusion. Dyin A Thirst mentioned as longshot value play at generous odds. Consider straight exacta 4-6 or 6-4 backed with small exacta box including value runners for insurance coverage.
Race 6 Trifecta Value
Top Three: 3-Bizzy Lizzy, 5-Gray Sea, 7-Sweet Beth
Value Addition: 4-Itsgrandsalamitime
Pick Pony analysts note form suggests winner comes from top selections making trifecta box attractive proposition. Maiden claiming races often produce unpredictable results favoring small box coverage over deeper tickets. Itsgrandsalamitime mentioned as potential upset candidate warranting inclusion as fourth horse in trifecta coverage. Consider 3-5-7 straight trifecta as primary wager with 3-4-5-7 box as secondary coverage.
Race 8 Superfecta Value
Key Horses: 9-Coastal Kid, 10-Positivity
Supporting: 8-Happy Dancer, 2-Mississippi Man
Deep Bombs: 1-Its Kraken Time, 4-Sir Bregovic
Pick Pony analysts note minimal separation between contenders suggesting wide-open allowance optional claiming race. Consider boxing top four selections in superfecta with deeper coverage including longshots Its Kraken Time and Sir Bregovic. Competitive field with full gate of runners suggests potential for longshot inclusion in superfecta payouts. Small investment in 9-10-8-2-1-4 superfecta wheel could produce significant returns if pace scenario develops favorably for closers.
Race 9 Late Double Value (Races 8-9)
Race 8 Spread: 9-Coastal Kid, 10-Positivity, 8-Happy Dancer, 2-Mississippi Man
Race 9 Spread: 4-Oh Angel, 5-Vronsky Feint, 3-Fall Moon, 2-Little Bit Tipsy
Pick Pony analysts identify both closing turf races as competitive events with multiple legitimate contenders. Race 8 allowance optional claiming and Race 9 starter optional claiming both feature full fields with minimal class separation. Turf Paradise turf course bias favors inside posts and tactical speed suggesting Fall Moon and Little Bit Tipsy provide value at generous odds. Consider wheeling top selections in each race for late double coverage. Both races feature closing runners suggesting potential for pace-dependent outcomes rewarding patient handicapping.
Longshot Value Plays
Race 2: 3-One Cache Icon (12-1) – Mentioned as potential upset in competitive trial.
Race 3: 1-One Apolitical Queen (5-1) – Featured as value play if leaders engage too aggressively in short sprint.
Race 4: 1-Right In Front (15-1) – Alternative selection suggests potential value despite lack of broader support.
Race 5: 2-Dyin A Thirst (12-1) – Win selection indicates potential upset in competitive turf mile.
Race 7: 10-Tequilalittletime (12-1) – Mentioned as longshot capable of springing surprise if pace collapses.
Race 8: 1-Its Kraken Time (8-1), 4-Sir Bregovic (15-1) – Selections suggest value in competitive allowance race.
Pick Pony analysts note several races feature contentious pace scenarios where longshots could benefit from aggressive early fractions. Consider small win wagers on selected longshots as value plays with larger investments in exacta and trifecta combinations including these runners underneath consensus selections. Quarter Horse trials in opening three races feature minimal form data suggesting potential for upset results at generous odds. Maiden races 6 and 7 historically produce unpredictable outcomes warranting consideration of longshot inclusions in exotic wagers.
